Futility Interim Analysis Based on Probability of Success Using a Surrogate Endpoint.

In clinical trials with time-to-event data, the evaluation of treatment efficacy can be a long and complex process, especially when considering long-term primary endpoints. Using surrogate endpoints to correlate the primary endpoint has become a common practice to accelerate decision-making. Moreover, the ethical need to minimize sample size and the practical need to optimize available resources have encouraged the scientific community to develop methodologies that leverage historical data.

HERTHENA-Lung02: phase III study of patritumab deruxtecan in advanced -mutated NSCLC after a third-generation EGFR TKI.

After disease progression on EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy, patients with -mutated NSCLC who are then treated with platinum-based chemotherapy (PBC) obtain only limited clinical benefit with transient responses. Therapies with greater efficacy and tolerable safety profiles are needed in this setting. The receptor tyrosine kinase HER3 is widely expressed in NSCLC, and increased expression is associated with poor treatment outcomes.

A UK cost-effectiveness analysis of trifluridine/tipiracil for heavily pretreated metastatic gastroesophageal cancers.

The current work was designed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of trifluridine/tipiracil (T/T) versus best supportive care (BSC) for patients with advanced stage or metastatic gastroesophageal cancer (mGC) from a UK perspective. A partitioned survival analysis was undertaken using data from the phase III TAGS trial. A jointly fitted lognormal model was selected for overall survival and individual generalized gamma models were chosen for progression-free survival and time-to-treatment-discontinuation.

Trifluridine-tipiracil plus bevacizumab versus capecitabine plus bevacizumab as first-line treatment for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer ineligible for intensive therapy (SOLSTICE): a randomised, open-label phase 3 study.

Background: Trifluridine-tipiracil plus bevacizumab has shown efficacy in previous phase 2 studies including patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer. We aimed to investigate first-line trifluridine-tipiracil plus bevacizumab versus capecitabine plus bevacizumab in patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer ineligible for intensive treatment.

Methods: In this open-label, randomised, phase 3 study, we enrolled patients aged 18 years and older with histologically confirmed metastatic colorectal cancer, ineligible for full-dose doublet or triplet chemotherapy and curative resection across 25 countries and regions.

A Bayesian approach for event predictions in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.

In clinical trials with time-to-event outcome as the primary endpoint, the end of study date is often based on the number of observed events, which drives the statistical power and the sample size calculation. It is of great value for study sponsors to have a good understanding of the recruitment process and the event milestones to manage the logistical tasks, which require a considerable amount of resources. The objective of the proposed statistical approach is to predict, as accurately as possible, the timing of an analysis planned once a target number of events is collected.

Trifluridine/tipiracil plus bevacizumab for third-line management of metastatic colorectal cancer: SUNLIGHT study design.

Trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) is an orally active formulation of trifluridine, a thymidine-based nucleoside analog, and tipiracil hydrochloride, a thymidine phosphorylase inhibitor that increases the bioavailability of trifluridine. Preliminary studies of FTD/TPI plus bevacizumab have produced encouraging results in the treatment of refractory metastatic colorectal cancer. Here, we describe the design of the multinational Phase III SUNLIGHT, an open-label study of FTD/TPI plus bevacizumab as third-line treatment for patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer.

First-line trifluridine/tipiracil plus bevacizumab for unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer: SOLSTICE study design.

Trifluridine/tipiracil (TT) is an orally administered combination of the thymidine-based nucleoside analogue trifluridine and the thymidine phosphorylase inhibitor tipiracil hydrochloride, which increases the bioavailability of cytotoxic trifluridine. Encouraging antitumor activity of first-line TT + bevacizumab (TT-B) has been observed in a Phase II study in patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer ineligible for combination oxaliplatin- or irinotecan-based therapy. Here, we describe the design of SOLSTICE (NCT03869892), an open-label, Phase III trial in unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer patients who are not candidates for, or do not require, intensive therapy.

Phase I dose-escalation of trifluridine/tipiracil in combination with oxaliplatin in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

Background And Objectives: Pre-clinical data have shown that combining trifluridine/tipiracil with oxaliplatin enhances anti-tumour activity compared with either monotherapy. A phase I dose-escalation study was conducted to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD), recommended dose (RD) for phase II and pharmacokinetic profile of this combination in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) who had progressed after at least 1 prior line of treatment.

Methods: Using a 3 + 3 design, patients received escalating trifluridine/tipiracil doses from 25, then 30 and to 35 mg/m twice daily, days 1-5, q14 days, together with a fixed dose of 85 mg/m of oxaliplatin day 1, q14 days.

QTWiST analysis of the RECOURSE trial of trifluridine/tipiracil in metastatic colorectal cancer.

Purpose: A Quality-adjusted Time WIthout Symptoms of disease or Toxicity (QTWiST) analysis was carried out to assess quality-adjusted survival time in the RECOURSE trial of trifluridine/tipiracil versus placebo in pretreated metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC).

Methods: Duration of overall survival in the RECOURSE trial (n=798 patients) was partitioned into three discrete health states: toxicity (TOX), time without symptoms or toxicity (TWIST) and relapse (REL). TOX was defined as time spent with grade 3 or 4 treatment-related adverse events (AEs) after randomisation and before progression or censoring.

Cost-effectiveness of Trifluridine/tipiracil for Previously Treated Metastatic Colorectal Cancer in England and Wales.

Background: Treatment options at third-line and beyond for patients with late-line metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) are limited, and outcomes are poor with best supportive care (BSC). This study investigated the cost-effectiveness of trifluridine/tipiracil and regorafenib relative to BSC alone in patients with mCRC who have been previously treated with, or are not considered candidates for, standard chemotherapies.

Materials And Methods: A partitioned survival model was constructed to assess the lifetime costs and benefits accrued by patients.

Complete response as an intermediate end point in patients receiving salvage systemic therapy for urothelial carcinoma.

Background: The complete remission (CR) rate with salvage systemic therapy for urothelial carcinoma (UC) is unclear, and its value as an intermediate end point and association with survival are unknown.

Materials And Methods: Data from phase II trials of salvage chemotherapy and/or biologic agents were pooled. Data regarding response, overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), time from prior chemotherapy, hemoglobin, performance status, and liver metastasis status were collected.

Six-month progression-free survival as the primary endpoint to evaluate the activity of new agents as second-line therapy for advanced urothelial carcinoma.

Objective: Second-line systemic therapy for advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) has substantial unmet needs, and current agents show dismal activity. Second-line trials of metastatic UC have used response rate (RR) and median progression-free survival (PFS) as primary endpoints, which may not reflect durable benefits. A more robust endpoint to identify signals of durable benefits when investigating new agents in second-line trials may expedite drug development.

A nomogram including baseline prognostic factors to estimate the activity of second-line therapy for advanced urothelial carcinoma.

Objective: To study the impact of the prognostic factors liver metastasis (LM), anaemia (haemoglobin [Hb] <10 g/dL), Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS) ≥1 and time from previous chemotherapy (TFPC) on the activity of second-line therapy for advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC).

Patients And Methods: Twelve phase II trials evaluating second-line chemotherapy and/or biological characteristics (n = 748) in patients with progressive disease were pooled. Progression-free survival (PFS) was defined as tumour progression or death from any cause.

Impact of response to prior chemotherapy in patients with advanced urothelial carcinoma receiving second-line therapy: implications for trial design.

Background: The prognostic impact of response to prior chemotherapy independent of performance status (PS), hemoglobin (Hb), liver metastasis (LM), and time from prior chemotherapy (TFPC) in the context of second-line therapy for advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) is unknown.

Methods: Six phase II trials evaluating second-line therapy (n = 504) were pooled. Patients who received prior therapy for metastatic disease were eligible for analysis if Hb, LM, PS, and TFPC were available.

Time from prior chemotherapy enhances prognostic risk grouping in the second-line setting of advanced urothelial carcinoma: a retrospective analysis of pooled, prospective phase 2 trials.

Background: Outcomes for patients in the second-line setting of advanced urothelial carcinoma (UC) are dismal. The recognized prognostic factors in this context are Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status (PS) >0, hemoglobin level (Hb) <10 g/dl, and liver metastasis (LM).

Objectives: The purpose of this retrospective study of prospective trials was to investigate the prognostic value of time from prior chemotherapy (TFPC) independent of known prognostic factors.

Phase II study of intravenous vinflunine after failure of first-line vinorelbine based regimen for advanced breast cancer.

Purpose: This open label phase II study evaluated the safety and efficacy of vinflunine in patients with breast cancer previously treated with a vinorelbine-based regimen and who progressed during or within 6 months of completing this chemotherapy.

Patients And Methods: Thirty eight patients received vinflunine 320 mg/m(2) once every 3 weeks. The primary efficacy endpoint was overall response rate (ORR).

Prognostic score for second-line chemotherapy of advanced non-small-cell lung cancer: external validation in a phase III trial comparing vinflunine with docetaxel.

A prognostic index for second-line chemotherapy of NSCLC was previously developed, based on individual patient data (IPD) of nine randomized trials. In order to validate the prognostic score in an external dataset, we analysed IPD of a non-inferiority phase III trial comparing vinflunine vs. docetaxel in second-line treatment of advanced NSCLC.

Optimisation of the size variation threshold for imaging evaluation of response in patients with platinum-refractory advanced transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelium treated with vinflunine.

Background: Vinflunine (VFL) has been approved in the European Union for second-line treatment of advanced transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelial tract (TCCU) in patients who progress after a platinum based regimen. However, very few patients achieve response by response evaluation criteria in solid tumours (RECIST). Therefore, another 'response' threshold may be more useful than RECIST 1.

Prognostic factors in patients with advanced transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelial tract experiencing treatment failure with platinum-containing regimens.

PURPOSE The present study sought to identify pretreatment prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with metastatic transitional cell carcinoma of the urothelial tract (TCCU) who experienced treatment failure with the first-line, platinum-based regimen included in the phase III vinflunine trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS In total, 370 patients with platinum-refractory TCCU were included in this analysis. Potential prognostic factors were recorded prospectively.