Publications by authors named "Rodrigo Carrillo-Larco"

Background: There is large variation in the individual risk of developing obesity-associated comorbidities. While obesity is highly prevalent in Mexico, data on the extent and heterogeneity of its associated co-morbidities is lacking. Hereby, we estimated the prevalence of different obesity-associated comorbidities, and how they have changed over 15 years.

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Background: Despite substantial declines in burden over time, stroke remains a public health threat in the Americas. This study aimed to assess the current magnitude, trends, and disparities in the estimates of stroke burden by sex and age in the Americas from 1990 to 2021.

Methods: Estimates from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries and Risk Factors Study 2021 were used to analyze incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost due to premature death, years lived with disabilities, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) caused by stroke and its major subtypes stratified by age, and sex in the Americas from 1990 to 2021.

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Background: The skeletal muscle has mainly a structural function and plays a role in human's metabolism. Besides, the association between sleep quality and muscle mass, in the form of sarcopenia, has been reported. This study aimed to assess whether changes of skeletal muscle mass (SMM) over time are associated with baseline sleep duration and disturbances in a resource-constrained adult Peruvian population.

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Background: Maternal short-term outcomes of postpartum depression (PPD) were widely examined, but little is known about its long-term association with multiple chronic diseases (multimorbidity) in women's later life. This study aims to assess the association of PPD with chronic diseases and multimorbidity in women's mid-late life.

Methods: This prospective cohort study included female participants in UK Biobank who attended online follow-up assessment and reported their history of PPD.

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Background And Aims: Impaired glucose intolerance (IGT) and impaired fasting glucose (IFG) are totally different. Lifestyle modification is effective in moving from prediabetes to normoglycaemia. There is a lack of information showing the effect of lifestyle modification according to each prediabetes and assessing its effect on the degree of reversibility to normoglycaemia and on cardiometabolic markers.

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Multimorbidity data is typically analysed by tallying disease counts, which overlooks nuanced relationships among conditions. We identified clusters of multimorbidity and subpopulations with varying risks and examined their association with all-cause mortality using a data-driven approach. We analysed 8-year follow-up data of people ≥35 years who were part of the CRONICAS Cohort Study, a multisite cohort from Peru.

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Objective: We describe the daily operations of the Cohorts Consortium of Latin America and the Caribbean (CC-LAC), detailing the resources required and offering tips to Caribbean researchers so this guide can be used to start a data pooling project.

Methods: The CC-LAC began by developing a steering committee - that is, a team of regional experts who guided the project's set up and operations. The Consortium invites investigators who agree to share individual-level data about topics of interest to become members and they then have input into the project's goals and operations; they are also invited to coauthor papers.

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Introduction: Chronic pain is associated with single cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs). Less is known about the association of chronic pain with the co-occurrence of multiple CMDs, known as cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM).

Objectives: This study aims to examine the association between chronic pain and incidence of CMM and if it existed, to what extent chronic pain relates to the progression of specific CMD-related multimorbidity (MM).

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Background: Examining trajectories of undernutrition and overnutrition separately limits understanding of the double burden of malnutrition. We investigated transitions between normal, stunting, overweight and concurrent stunting and overweight (CSO) and associations with sociodemographic factors in children and adolescents.

Methods: We used data from the Young Lives cohort in India, Peru and Vietnam, which follow children 1-15 (N = 5413) and 8-22 years (N = 2225) over five rounds between 2002 and 2016.

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Background: Physical activity and sleep are established modifiable lifestyle factors, but the optimal time of the day of these behaviours for health is unknown. This study examined the independent and joint associations of diurnal patterns of physical activity and sleep with all-cause mortality.

Methods: This prospective cohort study included 6,673 participants who have attended the accelerometer assessment in the 2011-2014 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES).

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Background: The prevalence of overweight and obesity has increased fastest in low- and middle-income countries in the last decades. Together with this rising prevalence, pharmacological and surgical interventions for obesity have emerged. How many people need these treatments is unknown.

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Background: Cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and depression are major health concerns, and the onset of either condition may heighten the risk of developing the other.

Objectives: The goal of this study was to characterize the reciprocal associations between CMM and depression among middle-aged and older adults.

Methods: This multicohort study used harmonized data from 5 prospective cohorts from China, South Korea, the United States, the United Kingdom, and Europe.

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This study aimed to estimate the population-based Parkinson disease prevalence, and to explore potentially associated factors and conditions. A population-based survey was conducted in Northern Peru. Symptoms compatible with Parkinson's were defined using a validated Spanish questionnaire (≥ 42 points suggest Parkinson's).

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Article Synopsis
  • The study analyzed changes in body mass index (BMI) and overweight prevalence from 2003-2019 in 10 African countries among people living with HIV (PLWH) and those without (PLWoH).
  • It found that while mean BMI increased over time for both groups, women LWH experienced a greater increase compared to women LWoH, whereas men LWoH saw a more significant rise than men LWH.
  • Although ART (antiretroviral therapy) coverage didn't show a strong link to BMI changes, the overall trends highlighted the need for BMI monitoring programs in PLWH due to rising BMI levels.
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Background: Chronic physical conditions (e.g., heart diseases, diabetes) increase with population ageing, contributing to psychological and cognitive multimorbidities.

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Background: While the new cardiovascular risk score (PREVENT) has improvements, its implementation may lead to significant changes in the distribution of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) in the United States. We aimed to quantify and characterize the distribution of the 10-year predicted absolute ASCVD risk using the Pooled Cohorts Equation (PCE) and PREVENT.

Methods: We utilized the latest (2017-March 2020) round of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES).

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In Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC), sociodemographic context, socioeconomic disparities and the high level of urbanization provide a unique entry point to reflect on the burden of cardiometabolic disease in the region. Cardiovascular diseases are the main cause of death in LAC, precipitated by population growth and ageing together with a rapid increase in the prevalence of cardiometabolic risk factors, predominantly obesity and diabetes mellitus, over the past four decades. Strategies to address this growing cardiometabolic burden include both population-wide and individual-based initiatives tailored to the specific challenges faced by different LAC countries, which are heterogeneous.

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Research has shown that X-rays and fundus images can classify gender, age group, and race, raising concerns about bias and fairness in medical AI applications. However, the potential for physiological sounds to classify sociodemographic traits has not been investigated. Exploring this gap is crucial for understanding the implications and ensuring fairness in the field of medical sound analysis.

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Background: The co-occurrence of chronic diseases and acute infectious events exacerbates disability and diminishes quality of life, yet research in Low- and Middle-Income countries is scarce. We aimed to investigate the relationship between infectious events and multimorbidity in resource-constrained settings.

Methods: We conducted a sequential mixed-method study in Lima and Tumbes, Peru, with participants having multimorbidity from the CRONICAS Cohort Study.

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Aims: Machine learning models can use image and text data to predict the number of years since diabetes diagnosis; such model can be applied to new patients to predict, approximately, how long the new patient may have lived with diabetes unknowingly. We aimed to develop a model to predict self-reported diabetes duration.

Methods: We used the Brazilian Multilabel Ophthalmological Dataset.

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Aims: To estimate the proportion of people with self-reported diabetes receiving eye and foot examinations in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC).

Methods: Cross-sectional analysis of national health surveys in nine countries. Adults aged 25-64 years with self-reported diabetes.

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Background: We aimed to examine the national and subnational prevalence of vulnerable newborn phenotypes in Peru, 2012-2021.

Methods: Newborn phenotypes were defined using gestational age (preterm [PT], term [T]), birthweight for gestational age using INTERGROWTH-21st standards (small for gestational age [SGA], appropriate for gestational age [AGA] or large for gestational age [LGA]), and birthweight (low birthweight [LBW], non-LBW) using the Peruvian National Birth Registry as six (by excluding birthweight) and ten newborn phenotypes (using all three outcomes). Small phenotypes (with at least one classification of PT, SGA, or LBW) were further considered.

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Introduction: Future demographic changes will increase the number of people living with non-communicable diseases. We projected the number of people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in 2035 and 2050 at the global and country levels.

Methods: We pooled T2DM prevalence estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study and population estimates from the United Nations for 188 countries.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study investigates how different hypertension guidelines (JNC-7 and ACC/AHA 2017) relate to 10-year mortality outcomes in a cohort from the PERU MIGRANT Study, finding a significant association between hypertension levels and increased mortality risk.
  • Analyzed data from 976 participants showed that hypertension prevalence nearly doubled when applying the ACC/AHA guidelines compared to JNC-7, and 6.4% of the participants died during the 10-year follow-up.
  • Those classified with pre-hypertension and hypertension were found to have significantly higher risks of death—2.1 times and 5.1 times, respectively—indicating the importance
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