Quantifying collective motion patterns in mesenchymal cell populations using topological data analysis and agent-based modeling.

Fibroblasts in a confluent monolayer are known to adopt elongated morphologies in which cells are oriented parallel to their neighbors. We collected and analyzed new microscopy movies to show that confluent fibroblasts are motile and that neighboring cells often move in anti-parallel directions in a collective motion phenomenon we refer to as "fluidization" of the cell population. We used machine learning to perform cell tracking for each movie and then leveraged topological data analysis (TDA) to show that time-varying point-clouds generated by the tracks contain significant topological information content that is driven by fluidization, i.

Local Identifiability Analysis, Parameter Subset Selection and Verification for a Minimal Brain PBPK Model.

Physiologically-based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) modeling is important for studying drug delivery in the central nervous system, including determining antibody exposure, predicting chemical concentrations at target locations, and ensuring accurate dosages. The complexity of PBPK models, involving many variables and parameters, requires a consideration of parameter identifiability; i.e.

Modeling and Parameter Subset Selection for Fibrin Polymerization Kinetics with Applications to Wound Healing.

During the hemostatic phase of wound healing, vascular injury leads to endothelial cell damage, initiation of a coagulation cascade involving platelets, and formation of a fibrin-rich clot. As this cascade culminates, activation of the protease thrombin occurs and soluble fibrinogen is converted into an insoluble polymerized fibrin network. Fibrin polymerization is critical for bleeding cessation and subsequent stages of wound healing.

Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis of Partial Charges on Macroscopic Solvent Properties in Molecular Dynamics Simulations with a Machine Learning Model.

The molecular dynamics (MD) simulation technique is among the most broadly used computational methods to investigate atomistic phenomena in a variety of chemical and biological systems. One of the most common (and most uncertain) parametrization steps in MD simulations of soft materials is the assignment of partial charges to atoms. Here, we apply uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis calculations to assess the uncertainty associated with partial charge assignment in the context of MD simulations of an organic solvent.

Parameter subset selection techniques for problems in mathematical biology.

Patient-specific models for diagnostics and treatment planning require reliable parameter estimation and model predictions. Mathematical models of physiological systems are often formulated as systems of nonlinear ordinary differential equations with many parameters and few options for measuring all state variables. Consequently, it can be difficult to determine which parameters can reliably be estimated from available data.

Forecasting and Uncertainty Quantification Using a Hybrid of Mechanistic and Non-mechanistic Models for an Age-Structured Population Model.

In this paper, we present a new method for the prediction and uncertainty quantification of data-driven multivariate systems. Traditionally, either mechanistic or non-mechanistic modeling methodologies have been used for prediction; however, it is uncommon for the two to be incorporated together. We compare the forecast accuracy of mechanistic modeling, using Bayesian inference, a non-mechanistic modeling approach based on state space reconstruction, and a novel hybrid methodology composed of the two for an age-structured population data set.

Use of Bayesian Inference in Crystallographic Structure Refinement via Full Diffraction Profile Analysis.

A Bayesian inference method for refining crystallographic structures is presented. The distribution of model parameters is stochastically sampled using Markov chain Monte Carlo. Posterior probability distributions are constructed for all model parameters to properly quantify uncertainty by appropriately modeling the heteroskedasticity and correlation of the error structure.