Erratum: The statistical design and analysis of pandemic platform trials: Implications for the future - CORRIGENDUM.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1017/cts.2024.

The statistical design and analysis of pandemic platform trials: Implications for the future.

The Accelerating COVID-19 Therapeutic Interventions and Vaccines (ACTIV) Cross-Trial Statistics Group gathered lessons learned from statisticians responsible for the design and analysis of the 11 ACTIV therapeutic master protocols to inform contemporary trial design as well as preparation for a future pandemic. The ACTIV master protocols were designed to rapidly assess what treatments might save lives, keep people out of the hospital, and help them feel better faster. Study teams initially worked without knowledge of the natural history of disease and thus without key information for design decisions.

ACTIV trials: Lessons learned in trial design in the setting of an emergent pandemic.

Accelerating COVID-19 Treatment Interventions and Vaccines (ACTIV) was initiated by the US government to rapidly develop and test vaccines and therapeutics against COVID-19 in 2020. The ACTIV Therapeutics-Clinical Working Group selected ACTIV trial teams and clinical networks to expeditiously develop and launch master protocols based on therapeutic targets and patient populations. The suite of clinical trials was designed to collectively inform therapeutic care for COVID-19 outpatient, inpatient, and intensive care populations globally.

Does Remdesivir Lower COVID-19 Mortality? A Subgroup Analysis of Hospitalized Adults Receiving Supplemental Oxygen.

The first Adaptive COVID-19 Treatment Trial (ACTT-1) showed that remdesivir improved COVID-19 recovery time compared with placebo in hospitalized adults. The secondary outcome of mortality was almost significant overall (p = 0.07) and highly significant for people receiving supplemental oxygen at enrollment (p = 0.

Changing interim monitoring in response to internal clinical trial data.

Designing clinical trials for emerging infectious diseases such as COVID-19 is challenging because information needed for proper planning may be lacking. Pre-specified adaptive designs can be attractive options, but what happens if a trial with no such design needs to be modified? For example, unexpectedly high efficacy (approximately 95%) in two COVID-19 vaccine trials might cause investigators in other COVID-19 vaccine trials to increase the number of interim analyses to allow earlier stopping for efficacy. If such a decision is based solely on external data, there are no issues, but what if internal trial data by arm are also examined? Fortunately, the conditional error principle of Müller and Schäfer (2004) can be used to ensure no inflation of the type 1 error rate, even if no interim analyses were planned.

Statistics of Rare Events.

Rare events can sometime arise in clinical development of treatments. For example, CYPIDES was a single-arm study of the CYP11A1 inhibitor ODM-208 to treat metastatic prostate cancer. Preclinical testing of the compound identified elevated thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) and bilirubin in rats and dogs.

Abatacept, Cenicriviroc, or Infliximab for Treatment of Adults Hospitalized With COVID-19 Pneumonia: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Immune dysregulation contributes to poorer outcomes in COVID-19.

Objective: To investigate whether abatacept, cenicriviroc, or infliximab provides benefit when added to standard care for COVID-19 pneumonia.

Design, Setting, And Participants: Randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled clinical trial using a master protocol to investigate immunomodulators added to standard care for treatment of participants hospitalized with COVID-19 pneumonia.

Persistence of Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Associated Cerebral Toxoplasmosis Lesions in Successfully Treated Patients Receiving Combination Antiretroviral Therapy.

Background: Toxoplasmic encephalitis (TE) is a life-threatening complication of people with human immunodeficiency virus (PWH) with severe immunodeficiency, especially those with a CD4 T-cell count <100 cells/µL. Following a clinical response to anti- therapy, and immune reconstitution after initiation of combination antiretroviral therapy (ART), anti- therapy can be discontinued with a low risk of relapse.

Methods: To better understand the evolution of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-defined TE lesions in PWH receiving ART, we undertook a retrospective study of PWH initially seen at the National Institutes of Health between 2001 and 2012, who had at least 2 serial MRI scans.

Interval between prior SARS-CoV-2 infection and booster vaccination impacts magnitude and quality of antibody and B cell responses.

SARS-CoV-2 mRNA booster vaccines provide protection from severe disease, eliciting strong immunity that is further boosted by previous infection. However, it is unclear whether these immune responses are affected by the interval between infection and vaccination. Over a 2-month period, we evaluated antibody and B cell responses to a third-dose mRNA vaccine in 66 individuals with different infection histories.

Infliximab for Treatment of Adults Hospitalized with Moderate or Severe Covid-19.

Background: Immune dysregulation contributes to poorer outcomes in severe Covid-19. Immunomodulators targeting various pathways have improved outcomes. We investigated whether infliximab provides benefit over standard of care.

Recent SARS-CoV-2 infection abrogates antibody and B-cell responses to booster vaccination.

SARS-CoV-2 mRNA booster vaccines provide protection from severe disease, eliciting strong immunity that is further boosted by previous infection. However, it is unclear whether these immune responses are affected by the interval between infection and vaccination. Over a two-month period, we evaluated antibody and B-cell responses to a third dose mRNA vaccine in 66 individuals with different infection histories.

Imaging and biopsy of HIV-infected individuals undergoing analytic treatment interruption.

Background: HIV persistence during antiretroviral therapy (ART) is the principal obstacle to cure. Lymphoid tissue is a compartment for HIV, but mechanisms of persistence during ART and viral rebound when ART is interrupted are inadequately understood. Metabolic activity in lymphoid tissue of patients on long-term ART is relatively low, and increases when ART is stopped.

Noninferiority testing with censoring when the event rate is low.

The PREDICT TB trial tests noninferiority of an abbreviated treatment regimen (arm A) vs a conventional treatment regimen (arm C). Treatment trials of drug-susceptible tuberculosis are expected to have low event rates (ie, relapse probabilities around 3-5%). We examine the question of what is the "best" way to test for noninferiority in a setting with low event rates.

Combination anti-HIV antibodies provide sustained virological suppression.

Antiretroviral therapy is highly effective in suppressing human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). However, eradication of the virus in individuals with HIV has not been possible to date. Given that HIV suppression requires life-long antiretroviral therapy, predominantly on a daily basis, there is a need to develop clinically effective alternatives that use long-acting antiviral agents to inhibit viral replication.

A note on familywise error rate for a primary and secondary endpoint.

Hung et al. (2007) considered the problem of controlling the type I error rate for a primary and secondary endpoint in a clinical trial using a gatekeeping approach in which the secondary endpoint is tested only if the primary endpoint crosses its monitoring boundary. They considered a two-look trial and showed by simulation that the naive method of testing the secondary endpoint at full level α at the time the primary endpoint reaches statistical significance does not control the familywise error rate at level α.

Data and Safety Monitoring Board Monitoring of Clinical Trials for Early Efficacy.

DSMB Monitoring of Clinical Trials for Early EfficacyIn this article in the DSMB mini-series, Dodd and Proschan review the clinical, ethical, and statistical issues that confront a DSMB when trial data suggest that the treatment under test is highly efficacious. Examples of such trials are reviewed.

Discussion on "Improving precision and power in randomized trials for COVID-19 treatments using covariate adjustment for binary, ordinal, and time-to-event outcomes".

Benkeser et al. present a very informative paper evaluating the efficiency gains of covariate adjustment in settings with binary, ordinal, and time-to-event outcomes. The adjustment method focuses on estimating the marginal treatment effect averaged over the covariate distribution in both arms combined.

Baricitinib plus Remdesivir for Hospitalized Adults with Covid-19.

Background: Severe coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) is associated with dysregulated inflammation. The effects of combination treatment with baricitinib, a Janus kinase inhibitor, plus remdesivir are not known.

Methods: We conducted a double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial evaluating baricitinib plus remdesivir in hospitalized adults with Covid-19.

Diagnosing fraudulent baseline data in clinical trials.

The first table in many articles reporting results of a randomized clinical trial compares baseline factors across arms. Results that appear inconsistent with chance trigger suspicion, and in one case, accusation and confirmation of data falsification. We confirm theoretically results of simulation analyses showing that inconsistency with chance is extremely difficult to prove in the absence of any information about correlations between baseline covariates.