Publications by authors named "Peter McIntyre"

Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of acute respiratory infection. In 2020, RSV was eliminated from New Zealand due to non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) used to control the spread of SARS-CoV-2. However, in 2021, following a brief quarantine-free travel agreement with Australia, there was a large-scale nationwide outbreak of RSV that led to reported cases more than five-times higher than typical seasonal patterns.

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Objective: Influenza reemerged after a 2020-2021 hiatus in 2022, but understanding the resurgence needs pre-COVID era surveillance. We compared age- and ethnicity-specific incidence of severe acute respiratory infection (SARI) from a hospital network in Auckland, New Zealand, in 2022 against a baseline, 2012-2019.

Methods: Annual and monthly influenza SARI incidence per 1000 persons by age and ethnic group between 2012 and 2022 was calculated using resident population as the denominator.

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Unlabelled: Objectives and importance of the study: Pharmacist-administered vaccination has expanded in Australia but has not been comprehensively assessed. We aimed to assess the pharmacists' role in vaccination in Australia before and during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as the completeness of data on pharmacist-administered immunisations.

Study Type: Cross-sectional study.

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Objective: Adverse birth outcomes and the maternal severity of influenza in pregnancy are well documented but information on pertussis is limited.

Design: Population-based linkage data were collected during 2001-2016.

Setting: New South Wales, Australia.

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Background: Forecasting models predicting trends in hospitalization rates have the potential to inform hospital management during seasonal epidemics of respiratory diseases and the associated surges caused by acute hospital admissions. Hospital bed requirements for elective surgery could be better planned if it were possible to foresee upcoming peaks in severe respiratory illness admissions. Forecasting models can also guide the use of intervention strategies to decrease the spread of respiratory pathogens and thus prevent local health system overload.

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Article Synopsis
  • Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) saw a significant outbreak in New Zealand in 2021, following a period of strict COVID-19 control measures that had previously reduced its prevalence to very low levels.
  • The outbreak was marked by a surge in cases and hospitalizations among a wider age group, linked to increased RSV importations coinciding with relaxing travel restrictions with Australia.
  • Genomic analysis revealed reduced genetic diversity of RSV in New Zealand compared to pre-pandemic levels, with the most similar viral genomes found in Australia, indicating cross-border transmission during the off-season.
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Background: Changes in the epidemiology of illnesses caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection following the COVID-19 pandemic are reported. The New Zealand (NZ) COVID-19 situation was unique; RSV community transmission was eliminated with the 2020 border closure, with a rapid and large increase in hospitalizations following the relaxation of social isolation measures and the opening of an exclusive border with Australia.

Methods: This active population-based surveillance compared the age-specific incidence and seasonality of RSV-associated hospitalizations in Auckland, NZ, for 2 years before and after the 2020 border closures.

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Background: Following implementation of coronavirus diseases 2019 (COVID-19) non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) in early 2020, declines in the incidence of other respiratory pathogens have been reported. This study aimed to assess the impact of these interventions on pertussis notifications in Australia.

Methods: We compared monthly national notification rates for pertussis during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic (2020 and 2021) to those during the three pre-pandemic years (2017 to 2019).

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Background: In many countries, infant vaccination with acellular pertussis (aP) vaccines has replaced use of more reactogenic whole-cell pertussis (wP) vaccines. Based on immunological and epidemiological evidence, we hypothesised that substituting the first aP dose in the routine vaccination schedule with wP vaccine might protect against IgE-mediated food allergy. We aimed to compare reactogenicity, immunogenicity, and IgE-mediated responses of a mixed wP/aP primary schedule versus the standard aP-only schedule.

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Background: In Australian remote communities, First Nations children with otitis media (OM)-related hearing loss are disproportionately at risk of developmental delay and poor school performance, compared to those with normal hearing. Our objective was to compare OM-related hearing loss in children randomised to one of 2 pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) formulations.

Methods And Findings: In 2 sequential parallel, open-label, randomised controlled trials (the PREVIX trials), eligible infants were first allocated 1:1:1 at age 28 to 38 days to standard or mixed PCV schedules, then at age 12 months to PCV13 (13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, +P) or PHiD-CV10 (10-valent pneumococcal Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine, +S) (1:1).

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Article Synopsis
  • This study examined how preserved fish specimens can be used to analyze historical mercury exposure patterns, discovering that preservation methods affect mercury concentrations.
  • It was found that low-mercury fish are at risk of contamination from outside sources, which can skew measurements but can be corrected for with careful methods.
  • The researchers recommend best practices for selecting and processing fish specimens to improve the reliability of their use in monitoring mercury levels for global environmental efforts like the Minamata Convention.
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Background: New Zealand's (NZ) complete absence of community transmission of influenza and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) after May 2020, likely due to COVID-19 elimination measures, provided a rare opportunity to assess the impact of border restrictions on common respiratory viral infections over the ensuing 2 years.

Methods: We collected the data from multiple surveillance systems, including hospital-based severe acute respiratory infection surveillance, SHIVERS-II, -III and -IV community cohorts for acute respiratory infection (ARI) surveillance, HealthStat sentinel general practice (GP) based influenza-like illness surveillance and SHIVERS-V sentinel GP-based ARI surveillance, SHIVERS-V traveller ARI surveillance and laboratory-based surveillance. We described the data on influenza, RSV and other respiratory viral infections in NZ before, during and after various stages of the COVID related border restrictions.

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  • * A study in New York's Adirondack region showed that surface temperatures are rising much faster and bottom dissolved oxygen is depleting significantly faster than average, negatively impacting the habitat for brook trout.
  • * Most lakes studied have experienced either a seasonal loss or severe restriction of suitable habitats for trout, indicating that the combination of warming and browning could endanger cold-water fisheries and highlight the need for effective management strategies.
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Erratum Two tables within this report, as originally published, contained errors which are notified and corrected here.

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Species, through their traits, influence how ecosystems simultaneously sustain multiple functions. However, it is unclear how trait diversity sustains the multiple contributions biodiversity makes to people. Freshwater fisheries nourish hundreds of millions of people globally, but overharvesting and river fragmentation are increasingly affecting catches.

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Objective: Evaluate ear health and hearing among urban Aboriginal children and quantify relationships with child, family and social factors.

Methods: Baseline questionnaire and ear health examinations from 1430 children with diagnoses (0.5-18 years) attending Aboriginal Health Services enrolled in SEARCH.

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Background: The impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) on pneumonia in children is well-documented but data on 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPV23) are lacking. Between 2001 and 2011, Indigenous children in Western Australia (WA) were recommended to receive PPV23 at 18-24 months of age following 3 doses of 7-valent PCV. We evaluated the incremental effectiveness of PPV23 against pneumonia hospitalisation.

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Aim: Maternal immunisation coverage is suboptimal in Aotearoa New Zealand. Our objective was to highlight discrepancies resulting from how maternal immunisation coverage for pertussis and influenza is measured in Aotearoa New Zealand.

Method: A retrospective cohort study of pregnant people was undertaken using administrative datasets.

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Aim: To estimate thresholds for Body Mass Index (BMI) and arm circumference above which a longer needle is needed to ensure intramuscular (IM) delivery of a vaccine in the deltoid muscle at the site recommended by New Zealand (NZ) immunization guidelines.

Methods: A combined analysis of two studies, including 442 adults, with measurements of arm circumference, BMI and skin to deltoid muscle distance (SDMD) at the NZ immunization guideline-recommended IM injection site. Receiver Operator Characteristic curves identified arm circumference and BMI cut-points that gave 100% sensitivity for SDMD thresholds.

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Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) risk increases with age for older adults whereas the population size benefiting from pneumococcal vaccines and robustness of immunogenic response to vaccination decline. We estimate how demographics, vaccine efficacy/effectiveness (VE), and waning VE impact on optimal age for a single-dose pneumococcal vaccination. Age- and vaccine-serotype-specific IPD cases from routine surveillance of adults ≥ 55 years old (y), ≥ 4-years after infant-pneumococcal vaccine introduction and before 2020, and VE data from prior studies were used to estimate IPD incidence and waning VE which were then combined in a cohort model of vaccine impact.

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Article Synopsis
  • Food production of fed animals, like broiler chickens and salmon, significantly contributes to global environmental degradation, necessitating effective food policies for sustainability.* -
  • The study highlights that farming broiler chickens impacts nine times more land area than salmon, though chickens produce 55 times the output, with a large concentration of environmental pressures in specific locations.* -
  • Shared feed ingredients are a major contributor to environmental pressures in both sectors, indicating a crucial area for improvement in reducing ecological footprints and promoting sustainability through integrated food policies.*
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Wetlands have long been drained for human use, thereby strongly affecting greenhouse gas fluxes, flood control, nutrient cycling and biodiversity. Nevertheless, the global extent of natural wetland loss remains remarkably uncertain. Here, we reconstruct the spatial distribution and timing of wetland loss through conversion to seven human land uses between 1700 and 2020, by combining national and subnational records of drainage and conversion with land-use maps and simulated wetland extents.

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