Publications by authors named "Peter C Hayes"

Background: Infections have a poor prognosis in inpatients with cirrhosis. We aimed to determine regional variations in infections and their association with clinical outcomes in a global cohort of inpatients with cirrhosis.

Methods: In this prospective cohort study initiated by the CLEARED Consortium, we enrolled adults (aged >18 years) with cirrhosis who were non-electively admitted to 98 hospitals from 26 countries or regions across six continents between Nov 5, 2021, and Dec 10, 2022.

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Background: Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), characterised by hepatic lipid accumulation, causes inflammation and oxidative stress accompanied by cell damage and fibrosis. Liver injury (LI) is also frequently reported in patients hospitalised with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), while pre-existing MASLD increases the risk of LI and the development of COVID-19-associated cholangiopathy. Mechanisms of injury at the cellular level remain unclear, but it may be significant that severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) which causes COVID-19, uses angiotensin-converting expression enzyme 2 (ACE2), a key regulator of the 'anti-inflammatory' arm of the renin-angiotensin system, for viral attachment and host cell invasion.

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Article Synopsis
  • - Decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular cancer significantly increase mortality risks, and liver transplantation (LT) is a critical lifesaving option, though access varies widely, especially in lower-income countries due to various barriers.
  • - The Chronic Liver Disease Evolution and Registry for Events and Decompensation consortium identified key barriers to LT, emphasizing the importance of early intervention and affordable care to improve survival rates among hospitalized cirrhosis patients.
  • - There are distinct challenges associated with live-donor LT in Asia and deceased-donor LT in Western countries, highlighting the need for standardized definitions, enhanced resources, and knowledge sharing to improve equitable access to transplantation services.
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Background & Aims: Non-selective β-blockers (NSBBs) and endoscopic variceal-ligation (EVL) have similar efficacy preventing first variceal bleeding. Compensated and decompensated cirrhosis are markedly different stages, which may impact treatment outcomes. We aimed to assess the efficacy of NSBBs vs EVL on survival in patients with high-risk varices without previous bleeding, stratifying risk according to compensated/decompensated stage of cirrhosis.

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Background And Aims: A previous individual patient data meta-analysis (IPD-MA) showed that compared with drugs+endoscopy, the placement of transjugular portosystemic shunt within 72 hours of admission (pre-emptive transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt: p-TIPS) increases the survival of high-risk patients (Child-Pugh B+ active bleeding and Child-Pugh C<14 points) with cirrhosis and acute variceal bleeding. However, the previous IPD-MA was not a two-stage meta-analysis, did not consider the potential risk of selection bias of observational studies, and did not include the most recent randomized clinical trial. We performed an updated and revised IPD-MA to reassess the efficacy of p-TIPS, addressing all previous issues.

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Background And Aims: Direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment has an established positive effect on liver outcomes in people with hepatitis C infection; however, there is insufficient evidence regarding its effects on the 'extra-hepatic' outcomes of drug-related hospitalization and mortality (DRM) among people who inject drugs (PWID). We investigated associations between these outcomes and DAA treatment by comparing post-treatment to baseline periods using a within-subjects design to minimize selection bias concerns with cohort or case-control designs.

Design: This was a self-controlled case-series study.

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Scotland has a distinguished track record in foundational clinical research. From the completion of the first clinical trial undertaken in scurvy to cloning the world's first whole mammal, Scottish basic and clinical research is world leading. More recently, challenges in access to research skills, funding and programmes by clinical trainees led to the development of alternatives to these typical avenues of accessing research opportunities.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study aimed to assess mortality rates in patients treated for hepatitis C using modern interferon-free, direct-acting antivirals and compare them to the general populace.
  • A total of 21,790 patients treated between 2014 and 2019 were analyzed, categorized by liver disease severity, with follow-up ending either at death or by the end of 2019.
  • Results showed a 7% mortality rate during follow-up, with deaths primarily from drug-related issues, liver failure, and liver cancer, and overall mortality rates significantly exceeded those of the general population, especially for patients with more advanced liver disease.
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The gut-liver axis is defined by dietary and environmental communication between the gut, microbiome and the liver with its redox and immune systems, the overactivation of which can lead to hepatic injury. We used media preconditioning to mimic some aspects of the enterohepatic circulation by treating the human Caco-2 intestinal epithelial cell line with 5, 10 and 20 mM paracetamol (N-acetyl-para-aminophenol; APAP) for 24 h, after which cell culture supernatants were transferred to differentiated human hepatic HepaRG cells for a further 24 h. Cell viability was assessed by mitochondrial function and ATP production, while membrane integrity was monitored by cellular-based impedance.

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  • The study investigates how country-level income affects mortality rates in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis, using data from 90 hospitals across 25 countries.
  • Researchers collected data on patient demographics, disease severity, and treatment access while comparing outcomes based on the income classification of the countries involved.
  • The primary outcomes focused on mortality and liver transplants during the hospital stay or within 30 days of discharge, aiming to identify predictors of death among cirrhotic patients in different income settings.
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Background And Aims: Beta-blockers have been studied for the prevention of variceal bleeding and, more recently, for the prevention of all-cause decompensation. Some uncertainties regarding the benefit of beta-blockers for the prevention of decompensation remain. Bayesian analyses enhance the interpretation of trials.

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Background: Advanced chronic liver disease is an increasing cause of premature morbidity and mortality in the UK. Portal hypertension is the primary driver of decompensation, including the development of ascites, hepatic encephalopathy and variceal haemorrhage. Non-selective beta blockers (NSBB) reduce portal pressure and are well established in the prevention of variceal haemorrhage.

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Introduction: Risk scores estimating a patient's probability of a hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis are abundant but are difficult to interpret in isolation. We compared the predicted HCC probability for individuals with cirrhosis and cured hepatitis C with the general population (GP).

Methods: All patients with cirrhosis achieving sustained viral response (SVR) in Scotland by April 2018 were included (N = 1,803).

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Background & Aims: Whether non-selective β-blockers can prevent decompensation of cirrhosis warrants clarification. Carvedilol might be particularly effective since its intrinsic vasodilatory activity may ameliorate hepatic vascular resistance, a major mechanism of portal hypertension in early cirrhosis. We assessed whether carvedilol may prevent decompensation and improve survival in patients with compensated cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH).

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Background And Aims: Carvedilol reduces rates of variceal bleeding and rebleeding by lowering portal pressure. However, an associated pleiotropic survival benefit has been proposed. We aimed to assess long-term survival in a cohort of patients previously randomised to receive either carvedilol or endoscopic band ligation (EBL) following oesophageal variceal bleeding (OVB).

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Background And Aims: Existing models predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence do not account for competing risk events and, thus, may overestimate the probability of HCC. Our goal was to quantify this bias for patients with cirrhosis and cured hepatitis C.

Methods: We analyzed a nationwide cohort of patients with cirrhosis and cured hepatitis C infection from Scotland.

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Background & Aims: The impact of interferon (IFN)-free therapies on the epidemiology of hepatitis C virus (HCV) related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not well understood at a population level. Our goal was to bridge this evidence gap.

Methods: This study included all patients in Scotland with chronic HCV and a diagnosis of cirrhosis during 1999-2019.

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Background & Aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models can inform clinical decisions about HCC screening provided their predictions are robust. We conducted an external validation of 6 HCC prediction models for UK patients with cirrhosis and a HCV virological cure.

Methods: Patients with cirrhosis and cured HCV were identified from the Scotland HCV clinical database (N = 2,139) and the STratified medicine to Optimise Treatment of Hepatitis C Virus (STOP-HCV) study (N = 606).

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Background & Aims: Scale-up of highly effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for HCV among people who inject drugs (PWID) in Scotland has led to a reduction in the prevalence of viraemia in this population. However, the extent of reinfection among those treated with DAAs remains uncertain. We estimated HCV reinfection rates among PWID in Scotland by treatment setting, pre- and post-introduction of DAAs, and the potential number of undiagnosed reinfections resulting from incomplete follow-up testing.

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Background: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with increased risk of progression to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in people with chronic liver diseases, particularly non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the absolute risk of progression is low. So, it is crucial to accurately identify patients who would benefit most from hepatology referral and intensified management.

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Background And Aims: It is thought that alcohol intake and body mass index (BMI) interact supra-additively to modulate the risk of cirrhosis, but evidence for this phenomenon is limited. We investigated the interrelationship between alcohol and BMI on the incidence of cirrhosis morbidity for participants of the United Kingdom Biobank (UKB) study.

Approach And Results: The primary outcome was the cumulative incidence of cirrhosis morbidity, defined as a first-time hospital admission for cirrhosis (with noncirrhosis mortality incorporated as a competing risk).

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Introduction: Surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is recommended by national and international guidelines. However, there are no trial data on whether surveillance improves clinical outcomes in a UK cirrhosis population of mixed aetiology. Our aim was to determine the impact of, and adherence to, surveillance on overall survival.

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Article Synopsis
  • Chronic liver disease (CLD) is on the rise globally, especially in low to middle-income countries, and coffee consumption has been linked to reduced rates of CLD, though the impact of different coffee types is not well understood.
  • This study analyzed data from nearly 500,000 UK Biobank participants to investigate the relationship between coffee consumption (including decaffeinated, instant, and ground) and various outcomes related to CLD over a median follow-up of 10.7 years.
  • Results showed that coffee drinkers had a significantly lower risk of developing CLD, worse liver conditions, and death from liver disease compared to non-coffee drinkers, suggesting that coffee could be a potential preventative measure against CLD.
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