Publications by authors named "Paul F O'Reilly"

Polygenic scores (PGS) enable the exploration of pleiotropic effects and genomic dissection of complex traits. Here, in 421,889 individuals with European ancestry from the Million Veteran Program and UK Biobank, we examine how PGS of 17 neuropsychiatric traits are related to membership in 22 broad professional categories. Overall, we find statistically significant but weak (the highest odds ratio is 1.

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Background: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a complex, heterogeneous disease with distinct etiological mechanisms. These different etiologies may give rise to multiple subtypes of CAD that could benefit from alternative preventions and treatments. However, so far, there have been no systematic efforts to predict CAD subtypes using clinical and genetic factors.

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Understanding the genetic architecture of human traits is of key biological, medical and evolutionary importance. Despite much progress, little is known about how genetic architecture varies across the trait continuum and, in particular, if it differs in the tails of complex traits, where disease often occurs. Here, applying a novel approach based on polygenic scores, we reveal striking departures from polygenic architecture across 148 quantitative trait tails, consistent with distinct concentrations of high-impact rare alleles in one or both tails of most of the traits.

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Fine-mapping and gene-prioritisation techniques applied to the latest Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) results have prioritised hundreds of genes as causally associated with disease. Here we leverage these recently compiled lists of high-confidence causal genes to interrogate where in the body disease genes operate. Specifically, we combine GWAS summary statistics, gene prioritisation results and gene expression RNA-seq data from 46 tissues and 204 cell types in relation to 16 major diseases (including 8 cancers).

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Social isolation has been linked to a range of psychiatric issues, but the behavioral component that drives it is not well understood. Here, a genome-wide associations study (GWAS) was carried out to identify genetic variants that contribute specifically to social isolation behavior (SIB) in up to 449,609 participants from the UK Biobank. 17 loci were identified at genome-wide significance, contributing to a 4% SNP-based heritability estimate.

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Human endogenous retroviruses (HERVs) are repetitive elements previously implicated in major psychiatric conditions, but their role in aetiology remains unclear. Here, we perform specialised transcriptome-wide association studies that consider HERV expression quantified to precise genomic locations, using RNA sequencing and genetic data from 792 post-mortem brain samples. In Europeans, we identify 1238 HERVs with expression regulated in cis, of which 26 represent expression signals associated with psychiatric disorders, with ten being conditionally independent from neighbouring expression signals.

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Here we present BridgePRS, a novel Bayesian polygenic risk score (PRS) method that leverages shared genetic effects across ancestries to increase PRS portability. We evaluate BridgePRS via simulations and real UK Biobank data across 19 traits in individuals of African, South Asian and East Asian ancestry, using both UK Biobank and Biobank Japan genome-wide association study summary statistics; out-of-cohort validation is performed in the Mount Sinai (New York) BioMe biobank. BridgePRS is compared with the leading alternative, PRS-CSx, and two other PRS methods.

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Article Synopsis
  • * The authors propose a new graphical representation called trumpet plots, which show that most variants are common with small effects, while fewer variants are rare with larger effects.
  • * They created trumpet plots for over 100 traits from the UK Biobank and developed an R package ('TrumpetPlots') and a web app ('Shiny Trumpets') to make these visualizations accessible for broader use.
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Background: Polygenic risk score (PRS) analyses are now routinely applied across biomedical research. However, as PRS studies grow in size, there is an increased risk of sample overlap between the genome-wide association study (GWAS) from which the PRS is derived and the "target sample," in which PRSs are computed and hypotheses are tested. Despite the wide recognition of the sample overlap problem, its potential impact on the results from PRS studies has not yet been quantified, and no analytical solution has been provided.

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Article Synopsis
  • Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) are important tools in biomedicine that estimate genetic risk for diseases but often reduce an individual's complex genetic profile to a single number, losing significant information.
  • The authors propose a new approach called 'pathway polygenic' scores, which calculate genetic risks across multiple genetic pathways rather than relying on a single score.
  • They introduce a software called PRSet that enhances the analysis of these pathway PRSs, showing that it can outperform traditional methods in capturing genetic signals and classifying disease subtypes effectively.
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Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) aggregate the effects of genetic variants across the genome and are used to predict risk of complex diseases, such as obesity. Current PRSs only include common variants (minor allele frequency (MAF) ≥1%), whereas the contribution of rare variants in PRSs to predict disease remains unknown. Here, we examine whether augmenting the standard common variant PRS (PRS) with a rare variant PRS (PRS) improves prediction of obesity.

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Background: Greater maternal adiposity before or during pregnancy is associated with greater offspring adiposity throughout childhood, but the extent to which this is due to causal intrauterine or periconceptional mechanisms remains unclear. Here, we use Mendelian randomisation (MR) with polygenic risk scores (PRS) to investigate whether associations between maternal pre-/early pregnancy body mass index (BMI) and offspring adiposity from birth to adolescence are causal.

Methods: We undertook confounder adjusted multivariable (MV) regression and MR using mother-offspring pairs from two UK cohorts: Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) and Born in Bradford (BiB).

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The low portability of polygenic scores (PGSs) across global populations is a major concern that must be addressed before PGSs can be used for everyone in the clinic. Indeed, prediction accuracy has been shown to decay as a function of the genetic distance between the training and test cohorts. However, such cohorts differ not only in their genetic distance but also in their geographical distance and their data collection and assaying, conflating multiple factors.

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Here we report how four major forms of Alzheimer's disease (AD) genetic risk-APOE-ε4, APOE-ε2, polygenic risk and familial risk-are associated with 273 traits in ~500,000 individuals in the UK Biobank. The traits cover blood biochemistry and cell traits, metabolic and general health, psychosocial health, and cognitive function. The difference in the profile of traits associated with the different forms of AD risk is striking and may contribute to heterogenous presentation of the disease.

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Background: Epidemiological studies report increased comorbidity between depression and autoimmune diseases. The role of shared genetic influences in the observed comorbidity is unclear. We investigated the evidence for pleiotropy between these traits in the UK Biobank (UKB).

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Associations between exposures and outcomes reported in epidemiological studies are typically unadjusted for genetic confounding. We propose a two-stage approach for estimating the degree to which such observed associations can be explained by genetic confounding. First, we assess attenuation of exposure effects in regressions controlling for increasingly powerful polygenic scores.

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Article Synopsis
  • Many studies have suggested a link between certain maternal health issues during pregnancy and an increased risk of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) in children, but a systematic analysis of these associations considering coexisting maternal conditions was lacking.
  • This exploratory case-cohort study followed 80,187 children born in Israel from 1997 to 2008, analyzing maternal diagnoses and their potential links to ASD risk using various statistical methods.
  • The results identified 16 maternal health conditions significantly associated with an increased risk of ASD in children, particularly relating to metabolic, genitourinary, and psychiatric disorders, and noted that mothers of children with ASD were less likely to attend prenatal care.
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Traditional models of future alcohol use in adolescents have used variable-centered approaches, predicting alcohol use from a set of variables across entire samples or populations. Following the proposition that predictive factors may vary in adolescents as a function of family history, we used a two-pronged approach by first defining clusters of familial risk, followed by prediction analyses within each cluster. Thus, for the first time in adolescents, we tested whether adolescents with a family history of drug abuse exhibit a set of predictors different from adolescents without a family history.

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Background: The UK Biobank contains data with varying degrees of reliability and completeness for assessing depression. A third of participants completed a Mental Health Questionnaire (MHQ) containing the gold-standard Composite International Diagnostic Interview (CIDI) criteria for assessing mental health disorders.

Aims: To investigate whether multiple observations of depression from sources other than the MHQ can enhance the validity of major depressive disorder (MDD).

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To characterise the trait-effects of increased genetic risk for schizophrenia, and highlight potential risk mediators, we test the association between schizophrenia polygenic risk scores (PRSs) and 529 behavioural traits (personality, psychological, lifestyle, nutritional) in the UK Biobank. Our primary analysis is performed on individuals aged 38-71 with no history of schizophrenia or related disorders, allowing us to report the effects of schizophrenia genetic risk in the sub-clinical general population. Higher schizophrenia PRSs were associated with a range of traits, including lower verbal-numerical reasoning (P = 6 × 10), higher nervous feelings (P = 1 × 10) and higher self-reported risk-taking (P = 3 × 10).

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Article Synopsis
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant illness and mortality worldwide, highlighting the need for better resource allocation and risk identification for patients.
  • This study aimed to analyze electronic health records from COVID-19 patients in the Mount Sinai Health System to develop machine learning models predicting hospital outcomes based on patient characteristics at admission.
  • Using the XGBoost algorithm, the study found strong predictive performance for in-hospital mortality and critical events, with high accuracy scores across various time frames and effective model validation across multiple hospitals.
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A polygenic score (PGS) or polygenic risk score (PRS) is an estimate of an individual's genetic liability to a trait or disease, calculated according to their genotype profile and relevant genome-wide association study (GWAS) data. While present PRSs typically explain only a small fraction of trait variance, their correlation with the single largest contributor to phenotypic variation-genetic liability-has led to the routine application of PRSs across biomedical research. Among a range of applications, PRSs are exploited to assess shared etiology between phenotypes, to evaluate the clinical utility of genetic data for complex disease and as part of experimental studies in which, for example, experiments are performed that compare outcomes (e.

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Background: The coronavirus 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic is a global public health crisis, with over 1.6 million cases and 95,000 deaths worldwide. Data are needed regarding the clinical course of hospitalized patients, particularly in the United States.

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