Publications by authors named "Paul Dickman"

Background: Multistate models have been widely applied in health technology assessment. However, extrapolating survival in a multistate model setting presents challenges in terms of precision and bias. In this article, we develop an individual-level continuous-time multistate model that integrates relative survival extrapolation and mixed time scales.

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The introduction of tyrosine kinase inhibitors has considerably improved the life expectancy (LE) for patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML). Evaluating health-related quality of life within the treatment pathway remains crucial. Using the Swedish CML register, we included 991 adult patients with chronic-phase (CP) CML diagnosed 2007 to 2017, with follow-up until 2018.

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Background: The effect of myocardial infarction (MI) on life expectancy is difficult to study because the prevalence of MI hinders direct comparison with the life expectancy of the general population. We sought to assess this in relation to age, sex, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) by comparing individuals with MI with matched comparators without previous MI.

Methods: We included patients with a first MI between 1991 and 2022 from the nationwide SWEDEHEART registry (Swedish Web-System for Enhancement and Development of Evidence-Based Care in Heart Disease Evaluated According to Recommended Therapies), each matched with up to 5 comparators on age, sex, and region of residence.

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Background: In health technology assessment, restricted mean survival time and life expectancy are commonly evaluated. Parametric models are typically used for extrapolation. Spline models using a relative survival framework have been shown to estimate life expectancy of cancer patients more reliably; however, more research is needed to assess spline models using an all-cause survival framework and standard parametric models using a relative survival framework.

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Background: Earlier studies have shown that abbreviated protocol magnetic resonance imaging (AB-MRI) has similar diagnostic accuracy as the full protocol (Full MRI).

Purpose: To compare the diagnostic accuracy, reading time, and inter-rater agreement of AB-MRI to Full MRI among women without known increased familial risk of breast cancer or prior biopsy.

Material And Methods: In total, 395 MRI examinations were included in this study.

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Introduction: Vulvar cancer is a rare gynecological cancer affecting mostly older women. The aim of this population-based study was to investigate the incidence and net survival of vulvar cancer in Swedish women from 1960 to 2019.

Material And Methods: Data were retrieved from the mandatory Swedish Cancer Registry consisting of all women diagnosed with vulvar cancer between 1960 and 2019.

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Article Synopsis
  • - Routine cancer patient survival reporting is crucial for evaluating healthcare effectiveness and understanding prognosis, but the current publications need to be more diverse in the survival measures they present.
  • - The study utilized data from the Cancer Registry of Norway to suggest an automated method for estimating survival statistics across 23 types of cancer while avoiding assumptions about proportional hazards.
  • - Results indicated that reliable survival estimates could be generated for 21 out of 23 cancer sites, but implementing new survival measures in publications could be complex, highlighting the need for automated solutions.
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Background: An investigation of trends of incidence and net survival (NS) for endometrial cancer in Sweden.

Methods: Morphologically verified endometrial carcinoma diagnosed 1960 to 2014 were collected from the nation-wide Swedish Cancer Registry. Endometrial cancer patients were assessed with regards to time trends for incidence and 54,825 cases remained for survival analyses.

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Article Synopsis
  • Phyllodes tumors of the breast are uncommon and classified into benign, borderline, or malignant types, with a lack of clear guidelines for treatment and follow-up.
  • A survey of 419 surgeons and oncologists showed a preference for tumor-free excision margins, increased margins for worse classifications, and minimal consideration for axillary surgery, but opinions on adjuvant treatment varied.
  • The findings highlight significant differences in management practices, indicating a need for education and research on treatment strategies and the establishment of guidelines for these tumors.
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Background: There are situations when we need to model multiple time-scales in survival analysis. A usual approach in this setting would involve fitting Cox or Poisson models to a time-split dataset. However, this leads to large datasets and can be computationally intensive when model fitting, especially if interest lies in displaying how the estimated hazard rate or survival change along multiple time-scales continuously.

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Objectives: To conduct the first-ever nationwide, population-based cohort study investigating survival patterns of all patients with incident SSc in Sweden compared with matched individuals from the Swedish general population.

Methods: We used the National Patient Register to identify patients with incident SSc diagnosed between 2004 and 2015 and the Total Population Register to identify comparators (1:5), matched on sex, birth year and residential area. We followed them until death, emigration or the end of 2016.

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Background: The aim was to investigate time trends for incidence and long-term net survival in the morphologic subtypes and stages of cervical cancer in Sweden during the period 1960 to 2014.

Methods: Women with invasive cervical cancer were identified through the Swedish Cancer Registry. Incidence and net survival were calculated according to morphology, age at diagnosis, and FIGO stage at diagnosis.

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Background: Overall, women have better cancer-specific survival than men following haematological malignancies. The effect of reproductive factors on prognosis in women remains unknown and population-based studies are needed.

Material And Methods: A nationwide cohort of 21,237 Swedish women with a recorded haematological malignancy at ages 18-69 years was identified in the Swedish Cancer Register 1970-2018.

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In Part I of our review of cancer outcome research, we analysed pros and cons of various measures relevant to quantifying the burden of cancer. Based on our recommendations in Part I, we now discuss in Part II opportunities and priorities in four areas of outcome research: primary prevention; early detection screening; treatment; and quality-of-life assessment. We recommend the establishment of an infrastructure that facilitates high-quality research in these areas: (a) progress in primary prevention can be assessed most directly by monitoring cancer incidence although the interpretation of temporal trends is notoriously confounded by numerous factors that complicate causal inference.

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Objective: To evaluate temporal trends in survival and causes of death in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) in a nationwide study.

Methods: The cohort consisted of 13,009 Swedish CLL patients diagnosed 1982-2013. Relative survival (RS) and excess mortality rate ratios (EMRR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were estimated using flexible parametric survival models.

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Net survival, estimated in a relative survival (RS) or cause-specific survival (CSS) framework, is a key measure of the effectiveness of cancer management. We compared RS and CSS in men with prostate cancer (PCa) according to age and risk category, using Prostate Cancer data Base Sweden, including 168,793 men younger than age 90 years, diagnosed 1998-2016 with PCa. RS and CSS were compared according to age and risk category based on TNM (tumor, nodes, and metastases) stage, Gleason score, and prostate-specific antigen level.

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In a mission that aims to improve cancer control throughout Europe, the European Academy of Cancer Sciences has defined two key indicators of progress: within one to two decades, overall cancer-specific 10-year survival should reach 75%, and in each country, overall cancer mortality rates should be convincingly declining. To lay the ground for assessment of progress and to promote cancer outcomes research in general, we have reviewed the most common population-based measures of the cancer burden. We emphasize the complexities and complementary approaches to measure cancer survival and the novel opportunities for improved assessment of quality of life.

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Background: Despite improved surgical and oncological treatment, ovarian cancer continues to be the most lethal of the gynecologic malignancies. We aimed to analyze survival trends in epithelial ovarian cancer with regard to age, tumor site, and morphology in Sweden 1960 to 2014.

Methods: A nationwide population-based study was conducted using data from the Swedish Cancer Registry on 46,350 women aged 18 or older with a diagnosis of epithelial ovarian, fallopian tube, peritoneal, or undesignated abdominal/pelvic cancer 1960 to 2014.

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Objective: Specific survival estimates are needed for the increasing number of colorectal cancer (CRC) survivors. The aim of this population-based study was to determine conditional loss in expectation of life (LEL) due to CRC.

Study Design And Setting: All surgically treated patients with CRC registered in the Netherlands Cancer Registry with stage I-III between 1990-2016, were included (N = 203,216).

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As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies and cardiovascular disease. To provide clinically relevant population-level measures of late effects, it is of importance to (1) simultaneously estimate the risks of both morbidity and mortality, (2) partition these risks into the component expected in the absence of cancer and the component due to the cancer and its treatment, and (3) incorporate the multiple time scales of attained age, calendar time, and time since diagnosis.

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Background: Recently, plateletpheresis donations using a widely used leukoreduction system (LRS) chamber have been associated with T-cell lymphopenia. However, clinical health consequences of plateletpheresis-associated lymphopenia are still unknown.

Study Design And Methods: A nationwide cohort study using the SCANDAT3-S database was conducted with all platelet- and plasmapheresis donors in Sweden between 1996 and 2017.

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Background: The increasing number of colorectal cancer (CRC) survivors need survival estimates that account for the time already survived. The aim of this population-based study was to determine conditional survival, cure proportions, and time-to-cure (TTC) of patients with colon or rectal cancer.

Materials And Methods: All patients with pathologic stage I-III CRC treated with endoscopy or surgery, diagnosed and registered in the Netherlands Cancer Registry between 1995 and 2016, and aged 18 to 99 years were included.

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