Bayesian Model Averaging for Ensemble-Based Estimates of Solvation-Free Energies.

This paper applies the Bayesian Model Averaging statistical ensemble technique to estimate small molecule solvation free energies. There is a wide range of methods available for predicting solvation free energies, ranging from empirical statistical models to ab initio quantum mechanical approaches. Each of these methods is based on a set of conceptual assumptions that can affect predictive accuracy and transferability.