A stepped-wedge randomised controlled trial to assess efficacy and cost-effectiveness of a care-bundle to prevent falls in older hospitalised patients.

Background: Patient accidental falls in a hospital environment are a serious problem for patient safety, and for the additional costs due to associated medical interventions.

Objective: The endpoints of this study were the assessment of the fall incidence in the hospital before and after the implementation of a multidisciplinary care-bundle, along with a cost-effectiveness evaluation.

Design: A stepped-wedge trial was conducted between April 2015 and December 2016 in Bologna University Hospital.

R&D and market size: Who benefits from orphan drug legislation?

Since the early 80s, incentives have been introduced to stimulate R&D for rare diseases. We develop a theoretical model to study the impact of push and pull incentives on the intensive and extensive margin of optimal R&D investments. The model describes the mechanisms by which the type of incentives provided may favor R&D for orphan diseases with comparatively high prevalence.

Cost-effective clinical trial design: Application of a Bayesian sequential model to the ProFHER pragmatic trial.

Background/aims: There is growing interest in the use of adaptive designs to improve the efficiency of clinical trials. We apply a Bayesian decision-theoretic model of a sequential experiment using cost and outcome data from the ProFHER pragmatic trial. We assess the model's potential for delivering value-based research.

The impact of managed entry agreements on pharmaceutical prices.

Managed entry agreements (MEAs) have been used for several years, with the aim of curbing the growth of pharmaceutical expenditure and enhancing patient access to innovation. Yet, much remains to be understood about their economic implications. This paper studies the impact of MEAs on list prices, that is, prices before the deduction of any discount.

Which valued-based price when patients are heterogeneous?

We use a simple model to study the static and dynamic efficiency of alternative regulation regimes for the reimbursement of medical innovations when responses to a new treatment (effectiveness) are heterogeneous across the eligible population. When the rational behavior of profit-maximizing firms is taken into account, only average value-based prices can ensure both static and dynamic efficiency, but they imply higher expenditure and lower consumer surplus. Ignoring dynamic efficiency, if patients' responses are sufficiently homogeneous, marginal value-based prices may dominate from the payer's perspective.

Value-Based Pricing Alternatives for Personalised Drugs: Implications of Asymmetric Information and Competition.

The market for new drugs is changing: personalised drugs will increase the heterogeneity in patients' responses and, possibly, costs. In this context, price regulation will play an increasingly important role. In this article, we argue that personalised medicine opens new scenarios in the relationship between value-based prices, regulation and industry listing strategies.

Job sick leave: Detecting opportunistic behavior.

We utilize a large administrative dataset of sickness leave in Italy (a) to investigate whether private firms are more effective than the public insurer in choosing who to monitor and (b) to study the correlation between potentially opportunistic behavior and the observable characteristics of the employee. We find that private employers are more likely to select into monitoring employees who are fit for work despite being on sick leave, if the public insurer is not supported by any data-driven tool. However, the use of a scoring mechanism, based on past records, allows the public insurer to be as effective as the employer.

Late-stage pharmaceutical R&D and pricing policies under two-stage regulation.

We present a model combining the two regulatory stages relevant to the approval of a new health technology: the authorisation of its commercialisation and the insurer's decision about whether to reimburse its cost. We show that the degree of uncertainty concerning the true value of the insurer's maximum willingness to pay for a unit increase in effectiveness has a non-monotonic impact on the optimal price of the innovation, the firm's expected profit and the optimal sample size of the clinical trial. A key result is that there exists a range of values of the uncertainty parameter over which a reduction in uncertainty benefits the firm, the insurer and patients.

Is chest X-ray screening for lung cancer in smokers cost-effective? Evidence from a population-based study in Italy.

Background: After implementation of the PREDICA annual chest X-ray (CXR) screening program in smokers in the general practice setting of Varese-Italy a significant reduction in lung cancer-specific mortality (18 %) was observed. The objective of this study covering July 1997 through December 2006 was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of this intervention.

Methods: We examined detailed information on lung cancer (LC) cases that occurred among smokers invited to be screened in the PREDICA study (Invitation-to-screening Group, n = 5815 subjects) to estimate costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) from LC diagnosis until death.

Intracrine sex steroid synthesis and signaling in human epidermal keratinocytes and dermal fibroblasts.

Peripheral intracrine sex steroid synthesis from adrenal precursors dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) and DHEA-sulfate has evolved in humans. We sought to establish if there are differences in intracrine, paracrine, and endocrine regulation of sex steroids by primary cultures of human skin epidermal keratinocytes and dermal fibroblasts. Microarray analysis identified multifunctional genes modulated by steroids, quantitative RT-PCR (qRT-PCR) mRNA expression, enzymatic assay aromatase activity, scratch assay cell migration, immunocytochemistry α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA), and collagen gel fibroblast contraction.

Two-part payments for the reimbursement of investments in health technologies.

The paper studies the impact of alternative reimbursement systems on two provider decisions: whether to adopt a technology whose provision requires a sunk investment cost and how many patients to treat with it. Using a simple economic model we show that the optimal pricing policy involves a two-part payment: a price equal to the marginal cost of the patient whose benefit of treatment equals the cost of provision, and a separate payment for the partial reimbursement of capital costs. Departures from this scheme, which are frequent in DRG tariff systems designed around the world, lead to a trade-off between the objective of making effective technologies available to patients and the need to ensure appropriateness in use.

Should current criteria for detecting and repairing arteriovenous fistula stenosis be reconsidered? Interim analysis of a randomized controlled trial.

Background: The vascular access guidelines recommend that arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) with access dysfunction and an access blood flow (Qa) <300-500 mL/min be referred for stenosis imaging and treatment. Significant (>50%) stenosis, however, may be detected in a well-functioning AVF with a Qa > 500 mL/min, too, but whether it is worth correcting or not remains to be seen.

Methods: In October 2006, we began an open randomized controlled trial enrolling patients with an AVF with subclinical stenosis and Qa > 500 mL/min, to see how elective stenosis repair [treatment group (TX)] influenced access failure (thrombosis or impending thrombosis requiring access revision), or loss and the related cost compared with stenosis correction according to the guidelines, i.

Optimal decision rules for HTA under uncertainty: a wider, dynamic perspective.

We present a two-period framework, which combines real option and decision-theoretic approaches to health technology assessment under uncertainty. By viewing adoption, treatment and research decisions as a single economic project, we illustrate how their key dimensions affect optimal rules. We consider the results in relation to the existing literature and argue that developments in this direction could contribute substantially to efficiency gains in resource allocation.

The timing of adoption of positron emission tomography: a real options approach.

This paper presents the economic evaluation from a hospital's perspective of the investment in positron emission tomography, adopting a real options approach. The installation of this equipment requires a major capital outlay, while uncertainty on several key variables is substantial. The value of several timing strategies, including sequential investment, is determined taking into account that future decisions will be based on the information available at that time.

An extension of the real option approach to the evaluation of health care technologies: the case of positron emission tomography.

This paper aims to incorporate option values into the economic evaluation of positron emission tomography (PET). The installation of this equipment requires a substantial capital outlay, while uncertainty, especially regarding the possibility of new applications, is relevant, because the evidence available is still insufficient. Treating the number of examinations to provide as a stochastic variable, the cost-effectiveness analysis is extended to include the value of flexibility both with respect to the timing of investment and to the size of the project.

A human folliculoid microsphere assay for exploring epithelial- mesenchymal interactions in the human hair follicle.

The search for more effective drugs for the management of common hair growth disorders remains a top priority, both for clinical dermatology and industry. In this pilot study, we report a pragmatic organotypic assay for basic and applied hair research. The patented technique produces microdroplets, which generate human folliculoid microspheres (HFMs), consisting of human dermal papilla fibroblasts and outer root sheath keratinocytes within an extracellular matrix that simulates elements of the hair follicle mesenchyme.

Expression patterns of the glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor, neurturin, their cognate receptors GFRalpha-1, GFRalpha-2, and a common signal transduction element c-Ret in the human skin hair follicles.

Background: Glial cell line-derived neurotrophic factor (GDNF) and a related family member, neurturin (NTN), and their cognate receptors (GFRalpha-1 and GFRalpha-2, for GDNF and NTN, respectively) are distal members of the transforming growth factor-beta superfamily. They are involved in the control of murine hair follicle (HF) cycling. This study tests the hypothesis that GDNF and NTN, and their cognate receptors, are expressed in the human HF and their expression varies in the different stages of the HF cycle.

L-carnitine-L-tartrate promotes human hair growth in vitro.

The trimethylated amino acid l-carnitine plays a key role in the intramitochondrial transport of fatty acids for beta-oxidation and thus serves important functions in energy metabolism. Here, we have tested the hypothesis that l-carnitine, a frequently employed dietary supplement, may also stimulate hair growth by increasing energy supply to the massively proliferating and energy-consuming anagen hair matrix. Hair follicles (HFs) in the anagen VI stage of the hair cycle were cultured in the presence of 0.

Control of human hair growth by neurotrophins: brain-derived neurotrophic factor inhibits hair shaft elongation, induces catagen, and stimulates follicular transforming growth factor beta2 expression.

Neurotrophins are important modulators of epithelial-mesenchymal interactions. Previously, we had shown that brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) and its high-affinity receptor tyrosine kinase B (TrkB) are prominently involved in the control of murine hair follicle cycling. We now show that BDNF and TrkB are also expressed in the human hair follicle in a manner that is both hair cycle dependent and suggestive of epithelial-mesenchymal cross-talk between BDNF-secreting dermal papilla fibroblasts of anagen hair follicles and subpopulations of TrkB+ hair follicle keratinocytes.

Reorganization of actin cytoskeleton by the phosphoinositide metabolite glycerophosphoinositol 4-phosphate.

Glycerophosphoinositol 4-phosphate (GroPIns-4P) is a biologically active, water-soluble phospholipase A metabolite derived from phosphatidylinositol 4-phosphate, whose cellular concentrations have been reported to increase in Ras-transformed cells. It is therefore important to understand its biological activities. Herein, we have examined whether GroPIns-4P can regulate the organization of the actin cytoskeleton, because this could be a Ras-related function involved in cell motility and metastatic invasion.