Publications by authors named "P Cailly"

Article Synopsis
  • Accurate predictions of mosquito population dynamics help identify high-risk areas for mosquito-borne diseases, supporting decision-making for better surveillance and control strategies.
  • A weather-driven model was applied to three mosquito species (Anopheles hyrcanus, Culex pipiens, and Aedes caspius) in the same region, revealing distinct population patterns for each based on varying environmental factors.
  • The model's predictions closely matched observed data for An. hyrcanus and Cx. pipiens, with high correlation, while Aedes caspius showed more fluctuations in population due to irregular egg hatching linked to weather events.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF

The mosquito Aedes (Stegomyia) albopictus (Skuse) (Diptera: Culicidae) is an invasive species which has colonized Southern Europe in the last two decades. As it is a competent vector for several arboviruses, its spread is of increasing public health concern, and there is a need for appropriate monitoring tools. In this paper, we have developed a modelling approach to predict mosquito abundance over time, and identify the main determinants of mosquito population dynamics.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Background: In this study, carried out in the Camargue region (France), we combined entomological data with geomatic and modelling tools to assess whether the location of breeding sites may explain the spatial distribution of adult mosquitoes. The species studied are important and competent disease vectors in Europe: Culex modestus Ficalbi and Cx. pipiens Linnaeus (West Nile virus), Anopheles atroparvus Van Thiel, a former Plasmodium vector, and An.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF