Accurate rainfall-runoff modeling is crucial for effective watershed management, hydraulic infrastructure safety, and flood mitigation. However, predicting rainfall-runoff remains challenging due to the nonlinear interplay between hydro-meteorological and topographical variables. This study introduces a hybrid Gaussian process regression (GPR) model integrated with K-means clustering (GPR-K-means) for short-term rainfall-runoff forecasting.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFImproving the forecasting accuracy of agricultural commodity prices is critical for many stakeholders namely, farmers, traders, exporters, governments, and all other partners in the price channel, to evade risks and enable appropriate policy interventions. However, the traditional mono-scale smoothing techniques often fail to capture the non-stationary and non-linear features due to their multifarious structure. This study has proposed a CEEMDAN (Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise)-TDNN (Time Delay Neural Network) model for forecasting non-linear, non-stationary agricultural price series.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFA multi-season research trial entitled 'crop residue management effects on yield and water productivity of summer mung bean (Vigna radiata L.) under different irrigation regimes in Indian Punjab' was conducted at Punjab Agricultural University (PAU), Regional Research Station (RRS), Bathinda, during rabi 2020 and 2021. The field experiment was conducted in a split-plot layout with nine treatment combinations and replicated thrice.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe study investigates the interplay of land use dynamics and climate change on the hydrological regime of the Ravi River using a comprehensive approach integrating Geographic Information System (GIS), remote sensing, and hydrological modeling at the catchment scale. Employing the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, simulations were conducted to evaluate the hydrological response of the Ravi River to both current conditions and projected future scenarios of land use and climate change. This study differs from previous ones by simulating future land use and climate scenarios, offering a solid framework for understanding their impact on river flow dynamics.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFGroundwater in coastal regions is threatened by saltwater intrusion (SWI). Beach nourishment is used in this study to manage SWI in the Biscayne aquifer, Florida, USA, using a 3D SEAWAT model nourishment considering the future sea level rise and freshwater over-pumping. The present study focused on the development and comparative evaluation of seven machine learning (ML) models, i.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEnviron Sci Pollut Res Int
September 2024
In agricultural regions prone to dust storms, heavy metal contamination of soil and crops from airborne particulates poses significant risks to food safety and public health. This study has assessed the potential of machine learning models for predicting concentrations of toxic heavy metals like arsenic, chromium, and lead in dust from the agricultural Sistan region of southeastern Iran. This region experiences frequent dust storms mobilizing particulates from local dried lakes onto agricultural lands.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFClimate change and excessive greenhouse gas emissions profoundly impact hydrological cycles, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions, necessitating assessments of their effects on water resource management, agriculture, soil fertility, nutrient transport, hydropower generation, and flood risk. This study investigates climate change repercussions on streamflow in the Zarrineh River Basin, Iran, across three decadal intervals (2020-2029, 2055-2064, and 2090-2099) aiming to develop effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Four General Circulation Models (GCMs), chosen based on distinct Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) determined by the annual mean temperature gradient, are employed.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe study highlights the potential characteristics of droughts under future climate change scenarios. For this purpose, the changes in Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) under the A1B, A2, and B1 climate change scenarios in Iran were assessed. The daily weather data of 30 synoptic stations from 1992 to 2010 were analyzed.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEnviron Sci Pollut Res Int
September 2023
Biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) is one of the most important parameters used for water quality assessment. Alternative methods are essential for accurately prediction of this parameter because the traditional method in predicting the BOD is time-consuming and it is inaccurate due to inconstancies in microbial multiplicity. In this study, the applicability of four hybrid neuro-fuzzy (ANFIS) methods, ANFIS with genetic algorithm (GA), ANFIS with particle swarm optimization (PSO), ANFIS with sine cosine algorithm (SCA), and ANFIS with marine predators algorithm (MPA), was investigated in predicting BOD using distinct input combinations such as potential of hydrogen (pH), dissolved oxygen (DO), electrical conductivity (EC), water temperature (WT), suspended solids (SS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), total nitrogen (TN), and total phosphorus (T-P) acquired from two river stations, Gongreung and Gyeongan, South Korea.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAs an indicator measured by incubating organic material from water samples in rivers, the most typical characteristic of water quality items is biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) concentration, which is a stream pollutant with an extreme circumstance of organic loading and controlling aquatic behavior in the eco-environment. Leading monitoring approaches including machine leaning and deep learning have been evolved for a correct, trustworthy, and low-cost prediction of BOD concentration. The addressed research investigated the efficiency of three standalone models including machine learning (extreme learning machine (ELM) and support vector regression (SVR)) and deep learning (deep echo state network (Deep ESN)).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAccurate and precise values of hydrodynamic parameters are needed for groundwater modeling and management. Pumping test in the aquifer is the standard method to estimate the transmissivity, hydraulic conductivity, and storage coefficient as the key hydrodynamic parameters. Analytical solutions with curve matching and numerical modeling are two methods to estimate these parameters in the aquifer.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFDue to its heterogeneous and complex nature, groundwater modeling needs great effort to quantify the aquifer, a crucial tool for policymakers and hydrogeologists to understand the variations in groundwater levels (GWL). This study proposed a set of supervised machine learning (ML) models to delineate the GWL changes in the Zarand-Saveh complex aquifer in Iran using 15-year (2005-2020) monthly dataset. The wavelet transform (WT) procedure was also used to improve the GWL prediction ability of ML models for 3-month horizons using input datasets of precipitation, evapotranspiration, temperature, and GWL.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe nonlinear groundwater level fluctuations depend on the interaction of many factors such as evapotranspiration, precipitation, groundwater abstraction, and hydrogeological characteristics, making groundwater level prediction a complex task. Groundwater level changes are among the most critical issues in water resource management, which can be predicted to effectively provide management solutions to conserve renewable water resources. Understanding the aquifer status using numerical models is time-consuming and also is associated with inherent uncertainty; therefore, in recent decades, the application of artificial intelligence methods to predict water table fluctuations has significantly gained momentum.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFMachines learning models have recently been proposed for predicting rivers water temperature (T) using only air temperature (T). The proposed models relied on a nonlinear relationship between the T and T and they have proven to be robust modelling tools. The main motivation for this study was to evaluate how the variational mode decomposition (VMD) contributed to the improvement of machines learning performances for river T modelling.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe study investigates the potential of two new machine learning methods, least-square support vector regression with a gravitational search algorithm (LSSVR-GSA) and the dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), for modeling reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using limited data. The results of the new methods are compared with the M5 model tree (M5RT) approach. Previous values of temperature data and extraterrestrial radiation information obtained from three stations, in China, are used as inputs to the models.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFFor effective planning of irrigation scheduling, water budgeting, crop simulation, and water resources management, the accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ET) is essential. In the current study, the hybrid support vector regression (SVR) coupled with Whale Optimization Algorithm (SVR-WOA) was employed to estimate the monthly ET at Algiers and Tlemcen meteorological stations positioned in the north of Algeria under three different optimal input scenarios. Monthly climatic parameters, i.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe high cost and time for determining water quality parameters justify the importance of application of mathematical models in discovering connection among them. This paper presents a data mining technique and its improved version in estimating water quality parameters. For this purpose, the surface and ground water quality data from Hamedan (Iran) between 2006 and 2015 were analyzed using M5 model tree and its modified version optimized with Excel Solver Platform (ESP).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAdopting methodologies utilizing exogenous data from ancillary stations for determining crop water requirement is a suitable approach to exempt local shortcomings due to the lack of meteorological data/stations. Meanwhile, soft computing techniques might be suitable tools to be used with such data management scenarios. The present paper aimed at evaluating the generalizability of the gene expression programming (GEP) technique for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET) through cross-station assessment and exogenous data supply, using data from Turkey and Iran.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThis paper investigates the capabilities of the evolutionary fuzzy genetic (FG) approach and compares it with three neuro-fuzzy methods-neuro-fuzzy with grid partitioning (ANFIS-GP), neuro-fuzzy with subtractive clustering (ANFIS-SC), and neuro-fuzzy with fuzzy c-means clustering (ANFIS-FCM)-in terms of modeling long-term air temperatures for sustainability based on geographical information. In this regard, to estimate long-term air temperatures for a 40-year (1970-2011) period, the models were developed using data for the month of the year, latitude, longitude, and altitude obtained from 71 stations in Turkey. The models were evaluated with respect to mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and the determination coefficient (R2).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThere is a need to develop an accurate and reliable model for predicting suspended sediment load (SSL) because of its complexity and difficulty in practice. This is due to the fact that sediment transportation is extremely nonlinear and is directed by numerous parameters such as rainfall, sediment supply, and strength of flow. Thus, this study examined two scenarios to investigate the effectiveness of the artificial neural network (ANN) models and determine the sensitivity of the predictive accuracy of the model to specific input parameters.
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