Kontsevich-Segal Criterion in the No-Boundary State Constrains Inflation.

We show that the Kontsevich-Segal (KS) criterion, applied to the complex saddles that specify the semiclassical no-boundary wave function, acts as a selection mechanism on inflationary scalar field potentials. Completing the observable phase of slow-roll inflation with a no-boundary origin, the KS criterion effectively bounds the tensor-to-scalar ratio of cosmic microwave background fluctuations to be less than 0.08, in line with current observations.