Markovian state models (MSMs) are a convenient and efficient means to compactly describe the kinetics of a molecular system as well as a formalism for using many short simulations to predict long time scale behavior. Building a MSM consists of grouping the conformations into states and estimating the transition probabilities between these states. In a previous paper, we described an efficient method for calculating the uncertainty due to finite sampling in the mean first passage time between two states.
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