Publications by authors named "Naomi Wilcox"

In large cohort studies the number of unaffected individuals outnumbers the number of affected individuals, and the power can be low to detect associations for outcomes with low prevalence. We consider how including recorded family history in regression models increases the power to detect associations between genetic variants and disease risk. We show theoretically and using Monte-Carlo simulations that including a family history of the disease, with a weighting of 0.

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Background: The BOADICEA model predicts breast cancer risk using cancer family history, epidemiological and genetic data. We evaluated its validity in a large prospective cohort.

Methods: We assessed model calibration, discrimination and risk classification ability in 217,885 women (6,838 incident breast cancers) aged 40-70 years old of self-reported White ethnicity with no previous cancer from the UK Biobank.

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Background: The clinical validity of the multifactorial BOADICEA model for epithelial tubo-ovarian cancer (EOC) risk prediction has not been assessed in a large sample size or over a longer term.

Methods: We evaluated the model discrimination and calibration in the UK Biobank cohort comprising 199,429 women (733 incident EOCs) of European ancestry without previous cancer history. We predicted 10-year EOC risk incorporating data on questionnaire-based risk factors (QRFs), family history, a 36-SNP polygenic risk score and pathogenic variants (PV) in six EOC susceptibility genes (BRCA1, BRCA2, RAD51C, RAD51D, BRIP1 and PALB2).

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Background: Deleterious germline variants in and have been associated with a moderately increased risk of breast cancer. Risks for other cancers remain unclear.

Methods: Cancer associations for coding variants in and were evaluated using whole-exome sequence data from UK Biobank linked to cancer registration data (348 488 participants), and analysed both as a retrospective case-control and a prospective cohort study.

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Linkage and candidate gene studies have identified several breast cancer susceptibility genes, but the overall contribution of coding variation to breast cancer is unclear. To evaluate the role of rare coding variants more comprehensively, we performed a meta-analysis across three large whole-exome sequencing datasets, containing 26,368 female cases and 217,673 female controls. Burden tests were performed for protein-truncating and rare missense variants in 15,616 and 18,601 genes, respectively.

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Purpose: Prostate cancer (PCa) is highly heritable. No validated PCa risk model currently exists. We therefore sought to develop a genetic risk model that can provide personalized predicted PCa risks on the basis of known moderate- to high-risk pathogenic variants, low-risk common genetic variants, and explicit cancer family history, and to externally validate the model in an independent prospective cohort.

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Background: We aimed to evaluate a testing program to facilitate control of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission at a large university and measure spread in the university community using viral genome sequencing.

Methods: Our prospective longitudinal study used remote contactless enrollment, daily mobile symptom and exposure tracking, and self-swab sample collection. Individuals were tested if the participant was exposed to a known SARS-CoV-2-infected person, developed new symptoms, or reported high-risk behavior (such as attending an indoor gathering without masking or social distancing), if a member of a group experiencing an outbreak, or at enrollment.

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Importance: The association between COVID-19 symptoms and SARS-CoV-2 viral levels in children living in the community is not well understood.

Objective: To characterize symptoms of pediatric COVID-19 in the community and analyze the association between symptoms and SARS-CoV-2 RNA levels, as approximated by cycle threshold (Ct) values, in children and adults.

Design, Setting, And Participants: This cross-sectional study used a respiratory virus surveillance platform in persons of all ages to detect community COVID-19 cases from March 23 to November 9, 2020.

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Article Synopsis
  • - This study explored an at-home approach for diagnosing and treating influenza using home testing kits, telehealth consultations, and rapid delivery of antiviral medication to improve patient access and reduce delays in care.
  • - Conducted during the 2019-2020 influenza season in Seattle, the pilot involved 124 households closely monitoring respiratory symptoms and utilizing home tests, resulting in a 72.7% sensitivity and 96.2% specificity for the tests.
  • - With successful rapid delivery of medication (87.5% within 3 hours) following positive test results, the findings suggest that home-based diagnosis and treatment could be an effective strategy for managing influenza outbreaks.
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While influenza and other respiratory pathogens cause significant morbidity and mortality, the community-based burden of these infections remains incompletely understood. The development of novel methods to detect respiratory infections is essential for mitigating epidemics and developing pandemic-preparedness infrastructure. From October 2019 to March 2020, we conducted a home-based cross-sectional study in the greater Seattle, WA, area, utilizing electronic consent and data collection instruments.

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Most individuals infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) develop neutralizing antibodies that target the viral spike protein. In this study, we quantified how levels of these antibodies change in the months after SARS-CoV-2 infection by examining longitudinal samples collected approximately 30-152 days after symptom onset from a prospective cohort of 32 recovered individuals with asymptomatic, mild, or moderate-severe disease. Neutralizing antibody titers declined an average of about 4-fold from 1 to 4 months after symptom onset.

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Introduction: Influenza is an important public health problem, but data on the impact of influenza among homeless shelter residents are limited. The primary aim of this study is to evaluate whether on-site testing and antiviral treatment of influenza in residents of homeless shelters reduces influenza spread in these settings.

Methods And Analysis: This study is a stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial of on-site testing and antiviral treatment for influenza in nine homeless shelter sites within the Seattle metropolitan area.

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Background: Noninfluenza respiratory viruses are responsible for a substantial burden of disease in the United States. Household transmission is thought to contribute significantly to subsequent transmission through the broader community. In the context of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, contactless surveillance methods are of particular importance.

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Background: Acute respiratory tract infections are a serious clinical burden in infants; human metapneumovirus (HMPV) is an important etiological agent. We investigated genotypic variation and molecular epidemiological patterns among infants infected with HMPV in Sarlahi, Nepal, to better characterize infection in a rural, low-resource setting.

Methods: Between May 2011 and April 2014, mid-nasal swabs were collected from 3528 infants who developed respiratory symptoms during a longitudinal maternal influenza vaccine study.

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Article Synopsis
  • This study evaluates the effectiveness of home-collected midnasal swabs compared to professional nasopharyngeal swabs in detecting SARS-CoV-2.
  • It emphasizes the potential of unsupervised self-collection methods for diagnosing COVID-19.
  • The findings could have implications for testing accessibility and public health strategies.
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