Causal probabilistic modeling for malignancy grading in pathology with explanations of dependency to the related histological features.

This work demonstrates that histological grading of brain tumors and astrocytomas can be accurately predicted and causally explained with the help of causal probabilistic models, also known as Bayesian networks (BN). Although created statistically, this allows individual identification of the grade of malignancy as an internal cause that has enabled the development of the histological features to their observed state. The BN models are built from data representing 794 cases of astrocytomas with their malignant grading and corresponding histological features.