In 2023, wildfires burned 15 million hectares in Canada, more than doubling the previous record. These wildfires caused a record number of evacuations, unprecedented air quality impacts across Canada and the northeastern United States, and substantial strain on fire management resources. Using climate models, we show that human-induced climate change significantly increased the likelihood of area burned at least as large as in 2023 across most of Canada, with more than two-fold increases in the east and southwest.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFObservational constraint methods based on the relationship between the past global warming trend and projected warming across climate models were used to reduce uncertainties in projected warming by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Internal climate variability in the eastern tropical Pacific associated with the so-called pattern effect weakens this relationship and has reduced the observed warming trend over recent decades. Here we show that regressing out this variability before applying the observed global mean warming trend as a constraint results in higher and narrower twenty-first century warming ranges than other methods.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAchieving net zero global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO), with declining emissions of other greenhouse gases, is widely expected to halt global warming. CO emissions will continue to drive warming until fully balanced by active anthropogenic CO removals. For practical reasons, however, many greenhouse gas accounting systems allow some "passive" CO uptake, such as enhanced vegetation growth due to CO fertilisation, to be included as removals in the definition of net anthropogenic emissions.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBackground: Sufficient dietary fiber consumption is associated with well-established health benefits, yet such intake is currently suboptimal globally. Thus, there is interest in developing strategies to improve dietary fiber intake. One such approach is to increase the dietary fiber content of staple foods, but this needs relevant investigation.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe aim of this study was to assess whether high sensitivity troponin (hs-cTnI) is associated with 1 year mortality in critical care (CC). One year mortality data were obtained from NHS Digital for a consecutive cohort of patients admitted to general CC unit (GCCU) and neuroscience CC unit (NCCU) who had hs-cTnI tests performed throughout their CC admission, regardless of whether the test was clinically indicated. Cox proportional hazards were used to estimate the risk of 1-year mortality.
View Article and Find Full Text PDF