Geographic assessment of breast cancer screening by towns, zip codes, and census tracts.

Early detection is the primary way to control breast cancer, and mammography screening can reduce breast cancer mortality 30 to 40 percent among women aged 50 years and older. Geographic areas with a high proportion of cases with late-stage diagnoses may reflect gaps in screening efforts. We used a spatial scan statistic, adjusting for the multitude of possible region locations and sizes, to test whether any particular region of Massachusetts had statistically significant excesses of late-stage diagnoses during the period 1982 to 1986.

The geographic distribution of breast cancer incidence in Massachusetts 1988 to 1997, adjusted for covariates.

BACKGROUND: The aims of this study were to determine whether observed geographic variations in breast cancer incidence are random or statistically significant, whether statistically significant excesses are temporary or time-persistent, and whether they can be explained by covariates such as socioeconomic status (SES) or urban/rural status? RESULTS: A purely spatial analysis found fourteen geographic areas that deviated significantly from randomness: ten with higher incidence rates than expected, four lower than expected. After covariate adjustment, three of the ten high areas remained statistically significant and one new high area emerged. The space-time analysis identified eleven geographic areas as statistically significant, seven high and four low.