A multistate model and its standalone tool to predict hospital and ICU occupancy by patients with COVID-19.

Objective: This study aims to build a multistate model and describe a predictive tool for estimating the daily number of intensive care unit (ICU) and hospital beds occupied by patients with coronavirus 2019 disease (COVID-19).

Material And Methods: The estimation is based on the simulation of patient trajectories using a multistate model where the transition probabilities between states are estimated via competing risks and cure models. The input to the tool includes the dates of COVID-19 diagnosis, admission to hospital, admission to ICU, discharge from ICU and discharge from hospital or death of positive cases from a selected initial date to the current moment.

The Validity of the Invasive Tests for Helicobacter Pylori Diagnosis is Unequally Affected by the Consumption of Antibiotics or Pump Inhibitors. Test Performance under Real-World Conditions.

Background And Aims: Patients undergoing upper endoscopy have often used proton pump inhibitors (PPI) and/or antibiotics (ABx) recently. Both drugs have been associated with a poorer yield of the Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) diagnostic tests.