The unprecedented global impact of the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has necessitated a comprehensive understanding of its transmission dynamics and control measures. In this study, we present a detailed analysis of a COVID-19 vaccination model tailored to the context of Bangladesh, incorporating dual-dose vaccination strategies. By employing qualitative and bifurcation analysis techniques, we investigate the equilibrium points, effective reproduction number (R0), and critical thresholds that influence the prevalence and control of COVID-19 in the region.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIntroduction Despite the implementation of countermeasures and mass vaccination programs, the COVID-19 pandemic incidence was a vital public health concern. This study aimed to explore the dynamics of COVID-19 cases and assess the association of COVID-19 pandemic epidemiological data with meteorological factors in Hiroshima Prefecture compared to Japan. Methods We analyzed COVID-19 pandemic data in Japan's Hiroshima Prefecture from January 16, 2020, to May 9, 2023.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFBackground: Child malnutrition risk factors are globally recognized, but the specific impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the prevalence of child malnutrition, considering socioeconomic burdens and changes in family lifestyles, remains underexplored. This study aims to identify the significance of COVID-19-related factors in relation to the prevalence of child malnutrition in Selangor, Malaysia.
Methods: Purposive sampling was employed in this pilot study to select the households with under-5 children and, a structured questionnaire was developed to gather data.
COVID-19 is a significant public health problem around the globe, including in Australia. Despite this, Australia's Ministry of Health has expanded COVID-19 control measures widely, logistical trials exist, and the disease burden still needs more clarity. One of the best methods to comprehend the dynamics of disease transmission is by mathematical modeling of COVID-19, which also makes it possible to quantify factors in many places, including Australia.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCOVID-19 is an infectious disease that causes millions of deaths worldwide, and it is the principal leading cause of morbidity and mortality in all nations. Although the governments of developed and developing countries are enforcing their universal control strategies, more precise and cost-effective single or combination interventions are required to control COVID-19 outbreaks. Using proper optimal control strategies with appropriate cost-effectiveness analysis is important to simulate, examine, and forecast the COVID-19 transmission phase.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIn recent years measles has been one of the most critical public health problem in Bangladesh. Although the Ministry of Health in Bangladesh employs a broad extension of measles control policies, logistical challenges exist, and there is significant doubt regarding the disease burden. Mathematical modelling of measles is considered one of the most effective ways to understand infection transmission and estimate parameters in different countries, such as Bangladesh.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCOVID-19 remains a significant public health problem in New South Wales, Australia. Although the NSW government is employing various control policies, more specific and compelling interventions are needed to control the spread of COVID-19. This paper presents a modified SEIR-X model based on a nonlinear ordinary differential equations system that considers the transmission routes from asymptomatic (Exposed) and symptomatic (Mild and Critical) individuals.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFCOVID-19 is an infectious disease that kills millions of people each year and it is a major public health problem around the globe. The current COVID-19 situation is still now concerning, though the vaccination program is running. In this study, we considered a COVID-19 model with a double-dose vaccination strategy to control the current outbreak situation in Bangladesh.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTuberculosis (TB) is an airborne infectious disease that causes millions of deaths worldwide each year (1.2 million people died in 2019). Alarmingly, several strains of the causative agent, Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB)-including drug-susceptible (DS) and drug-resistant (DR) variants-already circulate throughout most developing and developed countries, particularly in Bangladesh, with totally drug-resistant strains starting to emerge.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFAt the end of December 2019, an outbreak of COVID-19 occurred in Wuhan city, China. Modelling plays a crucial role in developing a strategy to prevent a disease outbreak from spreading around the globe. Models have contributed to the perspicacity of epidemiological variations between and within nations and the planning of desired control strategies.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFObjectives: To analyse the outcomes of COVID-19 vaccination by vaccine type, age group eligibility, vaccination strategy, and population coverage.
Design: Epidemiologic modelling to assess the final size of a COVID-19 epidemic in Australia, with vaccination program (Pfizer, AstraZeneca, mixed), vaccination strategy (vulnerable first, transmitters first, untargeted), age group eligibility threshold (5 or 15 years), population coverage, and pre-vaccination effective reproduction number ( ) for the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant as factors.
Main Outcome Measures: Numbers of SARS-CoV-2 infections; cumulative hospitalisations, deaths, and years of life lost.
Although the availability of the measles vaccine, it is still epidemic in many countries globally, including Bangladesh. Eradication of measles needs to keep the basic reproduction number less than one [Formula: see text]. This paper investigates a modified (SVEIR) measles compartmental model with double dose vaccination in Bangladesh to simulate the measles prevalence.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFInfectious diseases kill millions of people each year, and they are the major public health problem in the world. This paper presents a modified (SLIR) compartmental model of disease transmission with nonlinear incidence. We have obtained a threshold value of basic reproduction number and shown that only a disease-free equilibrium exists when and endemic equilibrium when .
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe new Coronavirus Disease 19, officially known as COVID-19, originated in China in 2019 and has since spread worldwide. We presented an age-structured Susceptible-Latent-Mild-Critical-Removed (SLMCR) compartmental model of COVID-19 disease transmission with nonlinear incidence during the pandemic period. We provided the model calibration to estimate parameters with day-wise COVID-19 data, i.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTuberculosis (TB) is a major public health problem in Bangladesh. Although the National TB control program of Bangladesh is implementing a comprehensive expansion of TB control strategies, logistical challenges exist, and there is significant uncertainty concerning the disease burden. Mathematical modelling of TB is considered one of the most effective ways to understand the dynamics of infection transmission and allows quantification of parameters in different settings, including Bangladesh.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFDire COVID-19 expectations in the Lower Mekong Region (LMR) can be understood as Cambodia, the Lao PDR, Myanmar, Thailand, and Vietnam have stared down a succession of emerging infectious disease (EID) threats from neighboring China. Predictions that the LMR would be overwhelmed by a coming COVID-19 tsunami were felt well before the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic had been declared. And yet, the LMR, excepting Myanmar, has proved surprisingly resilient in keeping COVID-19 contained to mostly sporadic cases.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFFront Public Health
December 2020
On March 13, 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the 2019 coronavirus disease (COVID-19) caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV2 a pandemic. Since then the virus has infected over 9.1 million individuals and resulted in over 470,000 deaths worldwide (as of June 24, 2020).
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTuberculosis (TB) is the seventh leading cause of morbidity and mortality in Bangladesh. Although the National TB control program (NTP) of Bangladesh is implementing its nationwide TB control strategies, more specific and effective single or combination interventions are needed to control drug-susceptible (DS) and multi-drug resistant (MDR) TB. In this study, we developed a two strain TB mathematical model with amplification and fit it to the Bangladesh TB data to understand the transmission dynamics of DS and MDR TB.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFUrbanization has long been associated with human development and progress, but recent studies have shown that urban settings can also lead to significant inequalities and health problems. This paper is concerned with the adverse impact of urbanization on both developed and developing nations and both wealthy and poor populations within those nations, addressing issues associated with public health problems in urban areas. The discussion in this paper will be of interest to policy makers.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFTuberculosis (TB) is a potentially fatal infectious disease that continues to be a public health problem in Bangladesh. Each year in Bangladesh an estimated 70,000 people die of TB and 300,000 new cases are projected. It is important to understand the association between TB incidence and weather factors in Bangladesh in order to develop proper intervention programs.
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