Publications by authors named "Matthew O Adewole"

The global impact of COVID-19 has led to the development of numerous mathematical models to understand and control the pandemic. However, these models have not fully captured how the disease's dynamics are influenced by both within-host and between-host factors. To address this, a new mathematical model is proposed that links these dynamics and incorporates immune response.

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In this work, a mathematical model consisting of a compartmentalized coupled nonlinear system of fractional order differential equations describing the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 is studied. The fractional derivative is taken in the Atangana-Baleanu-Caputo sense. The basic dynamic properties of the fractional model such as invariant region, existence of equilibrium points as well as basic reproduction number are briefly discussed.

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This study was designed to investigate the transmission dynamics of the novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) to inform policy advisory vital for managing the spread of the virus in Nigeria. We applied the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR)-type predictive model to discern the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different stages of the pandemic; incidence, during and after the lockdown from 27th March 2020 to 22nd September 2020 in Nigeria. Our model was calibrated with the COVID-19 data (obtained from the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control) using the "lsqcurvefit" package in MATLAB to fit the "cumulative active cases" and "cumulative death" data.

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To understand the dynamics of COVID-19 in Nigeria, a mathematical model which incorporates the key compartments and parameters regarding COVID-19 in Nigeria is formulated. The basic reproduction number is obtained which is then used to analyze the stability of the disease-free equilibrium solution of the model. The model is calibrated using data obtained from Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and key parameters of the model are estimated.

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