Publications by authors named "Matthew Churpek"

Introduction: Obesity, defined as a body mass index ≥30 kg/m, is a major public health concern in the United States. Preventative approaches are essential, but they are limited by an inability to accurately predict individuals at highest risk of weight gain. Our objective was to develop accurate weight gain prediction models using the National Institutes of Health All of Us dataset.

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Objectives: Applying large language models (LLMs) to the clinical domain is challenging due to the context-heavy nature of processing medical records. Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) offers a solution by facilitating reasoning over large text sources. However, there are many parameters to optimize in just the retrieval system alone.

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Unlabelled: Hospitalized adults with opioid use disorder (OUD) are at high risk for adverse events and rehospitalizations. This pre-post quasi-experimental study evaluated whether an AI-driven OUD screener embedded in the electronic health record (EHR) was non-inferior to usual care in identifying patients for Addiction Medicine consults, aiming to provide a similarly effective but more scalable alternative to human-led ad hoc consultations. The AI screener analyzed EHR notes in real-time with a convolutional neural network to identify patients at risk and recommend consultation.

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Importance: Early warning decision support tools to identify clinical deterioration in the hospital are widely used, but there is little information on their comparative performance.

Objective: To compare 3 proprietary artificial intelligence (AI) early warning scores and 3 publicly available simple aggregated weighted scores.

Design, Setting, And Participants: This retrospective cohort study was performed at 7 hospitals in the Yale New Haven Health System.

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Background: Early diagnostic uncertainty for infection causes delays in antibiotic administration in infected patients and unnecessary antibiotic administration in noninfected patients.

Objective: To develop a machine learning model for the early detection of untreated infection (eDENTIFI), with the presence of infection determined by clinician chart review.

Derivation Cohort: Three thousand three hundred fifty-seven adult patients hospitalized between 2006 and 2018 at two health systems in Illinois, United States.

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Article Synopsis
  • This study focuses on identifying different immune profiles in sepsis patients based on their body temperature patterns to potentially enable more targeted treatments.
  • Researchers categorized 3,576 hospitalized patients with suspected infections into four distinct temperature trajectory subphenotypes and assessed their clinical outcomes and biomarker levels.
  • Findings revealed significant differences in mortality rates among these subphenotypes, with the highest mortality in hypothermic patients and notable differences in 20 specific biomarkers across the temperature groups, highlighting the complexity of sepsis.
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Importance: Timely intervention for clinically deteriorating ward patients requires that care teams accurately diagnose and treat their underlying medical conditions. However, the most common diagnoses leading to deterioration and the relevant therapies provided are poorly characterized.

Objectives: We aimed to determine the diagnoses responsible for clinical deterioration, the relevant diagnostic tests ordered, and the treatments administered among high-risk ward patients using manual chart review.

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Importance: Intravenous fluids are an essential part of treatment in sepsis, but there remains clinical equipoise on which type of crystalloid fluids to use in sepsis. A previously reported sepsis subphenotype (ie, group D) has demonstrated a substantial mortality benefit from balanced crystalloids compared with normal saline.

Objective: To test the hypothesis that targeting balanced crystalloids to patients with group D sepsis through an electronic health record (EHR) alert will reduce 30-day inpatient mortality.

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Background: Large language models (LLMs) can assist providers in drafting responses to patient inquiries. We examined a prompt engineering strategy to draft responses for providers in the electronic health record. The aim was to evaluate the change in usability after prompt engineering.

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Critical care trials evaluate the effect of interventions in patients with diverse personal histories and causes of illness, often under the umbrella of heterogeneous clinical syndromes, such as sepsis or acute respiratory distress syndrome. Given this variation, it is reasonable to expect that the effect of treatment on outcomes may differ for individuals with variable characteristics. However, in randomized controlled trials, efficacy is typically assessed by the average treatment effect (ATE), which quantifies the average effect of the intervention on the outcome in the study population.

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Background And Objective: To develop the COVid Veteran (COVet) score for clinical deterioration in Veterans hospitalized with COVID-19 and further validate this model in both Veteran and non-Veteran samples. No such score has been derived and validated while incorporating a Veteran sample.

Derivation Cohort: Adults (age ≥ 18 yr) hospitalized outside the ICU with a diagnosis of COVID-19 for model development to the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) (n = 80 hospitals).

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Article Synopsis
  • Substance misuse is a major public health issue linked to higher rates of illness, death, and healthcare needs, but the impact of prior emergency medical service (EMS) usage on patient outcomes is unclear.
  • This study analyzed emergency department visits and hospitalizations from 2017 to 2021 to assess how EMS utilization within 30 days before a hospital visit affects in-hospital outcomes, considering multiple factors like age and substance type.
  • Results showed that individuals with substance misuse who used EMS prior to hospitalization had a 52% higher risk of in-hospital mortality, along with a slightly longer hospital stay, but EMS use did not significantly affect ICU admissions or critical illness events.
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Article Synopsis
  • A trial showed that individuals on extended-release naltrexone had higher relapse rates compared to those on buprenorphine-naloxone, suggesting treatment effectiveness may depend on patient characteristics.
  • The study employed causal machine learning to analyze data from a randomized trial, assessing how well individualized treatment effects could predict success in preventing opioid misuse relapse.
  • Results indicated that specific patient factors, such as opioid withdrawal severity and co-occurring substance use disorders, significantly influenced the effectiveness of each treatment option, revealing varying benefits depending on individual characteristics.
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Objectives: To compare and externally validate popular deep learning model architectures and data transformation methods for variable-length time series data in 3 clinical tasks (clinical deterioration, severe acute kidney injury [AKI], and suspected infection).

Materials And Methods: This multicenter retrospective study included admissions at 2 medical centers that spanned 2007-2022. Distinct datasets were created for each clinical task, with 1 site used for training and the other for testing.

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Background: Perhaps nowhere else in the healthcare system than in the intensive care unit environment are the challenges to create useful models with direct time-critical clinical applications more relevant and the obstacles to achieving those goals more massive. Machine learning-based artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to define states and predict future events are commonplace activities of modern life. However, their penetration into acute care medicine has been slow, stuttering and uneven.

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Objective: The timely stratification of trauma injury severity can enhance the quality of trauma care but it requires intense manual annotation from certified trauma coders. The objective of this study is to develop machine learning models for the stratification of trauma injury severity across various body regions using clinical text and structured electronic health records (EHRs) data.

Materials And Methods: Our study utilized clinical documents and structured EHR variables linked with the trauma registry data to create 2 machine learning models with different approaches to representing text.

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Objective: Early detection of clinical deterioration using machine learning early warning scores may improve outcomes. However, most implemented scores were developed using logistic regression, only underwent retrospective validation, and were not tested in important subgroups. Our objective was to develop and prospectively validate a gradient boosted machine model (eCARTv5) for identifying clinical deterioration on the wards.

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In the evolving landscape of clinical Natural Language Generation (NLG), assessing abstractive text quality remains challenging, as existing methods often overlook generative task complexities. This work aimed to examine the current state of automated evaluation metrics in NLG in healthcare. To have a robust and well-validated baseline with which to examine the alignment of these metrics, we created a comprehensive human evaluation framework.

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Objectives: Alcohol withdrawal syndrome (AWS) may progress to require high-intensity care. Approaches to identify hospitalized patients with AWS who received higher level of care have not been previously examined. This study aimed to examine the utility of Clinical Institute Withdrawal Assessment Alcohol Revised (CIWA-Ar) for alcohol scale scores and medication doses for alcohol withdrawal management in identifying patients who received high-intensity care.

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Importance: Among critically ill adults, randomized trials have not found oxygenation targets to affect outcomes overall. Whether the effects of oxygenation targets differ based on an individual's characteristics is unknown.

Objective: To determine whether an individual's characteristics modify the effect of lower vs higher peripheral oxygenation-saturation (Spo2) targets on mortality.

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Objective: Timely intervention for clinically deteriorating ward patients requires that care teams accurately diagnose and treat their underlying medical conditions. However, the most common diagnoses leading to deterioration and the relevant therapies provided are poorly characterized. Therefore, we aimed to determine the diagnoses responsible for clinical deterioration, the relevant diagnostic tests ordered, and the treatments administered among high-risk ward patients using manual chart review.

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