Publications by authors named "Manfredi Manizza"

Article Synopsis
  • Climate change is causing rapid transformations in polar ecosystems, impacting various species, particularly at lower trophic levels.
  • Long-lived and mobile species like gray whales might cope better with short-term changes, but their survival still depends on the availability of prey in warming Arctic conditions.
  • Significant mortality events in gray whales, linked to low prey biomass and high ice cover, indicate that even adaptable species are vulnerable to the changing Arctic environment.
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The inventory and variability of oceanic dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) is driven by the interplay of physical, chemical, and biological processes. Quantifying the spatiotemporal variability of these drivers is crucial for a mechanistic understanding of the ocean carbon sink and its future trajectory. Here, we use the Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the Ocean-Darwin ocean biogeochemistry state estimate to generate a global-ocean, data-constrained DIC budget and investigate how spatial and seasonal-to-interannual variability in three-dimensional circulation, air-sea CO flux, and biological processes have modulated the ocean sink for 1995-2018.

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The relative skill of 21 regional and global biogeochemical models was assessed in terms of how well the models reproduced observed net primary productivity (NPP) and environmental variables such as nitrate concentration (NO), mixed layer depth (MLD), euphotic layer depth (Z), and sea ice concentration, by comparing results against a newly updated, quality-controlled in situ NPP database for the Arctic Ocean (1959-2011). The models broadly captured the spatial features of integrated NPP (iNPP) on a pan-Arctic scale. Most models underestimated iNPP by varying degrees in spite of overestimating surface NO, MLD, and Z throughout the regions.

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