Publications by authors named "M Urner"

Background: Critical illness is associated with an altered gut microbiota, yet its association with poor outcomes remains unclear. This study evaluates the early gut microbiota diversity changes in intensive care unit patients and its association with mortality. Additionally, it explores fecal pH as a potential biomarker for these changes.

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Article Synopsis
  • Patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure face high mortality and long ventilation times, so effective intervention analysis methods are needed to optimize clinical trials for these outcomes.
  • This study compared various statistical methods for analyzing the composite outcome of "days alive and free of ventilation," assessing their performance using simulated patient data under different treatment effects.
  • Results showed that while all methods maintained good control of false positives, the effectiveness of each analytical approach varied based on treatment impacts on mortality and ventilation duration, suggesting that the choice of method should align with the specific outcomes being analyzed.
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Mechanical ventilation stands as a life-saving intervention in the management of respiratory failure. However, it carries the risk of ventilator-induced lung injury. Despite the adoption of lung-protective ventilation strategies, including lower tidal volumes and pressure limitations, mortality rates remain high, leaving room for innovative approaches.

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Background: Adaptive trials usually require simulations to determine values for design parameters, demonstrate error rates, and establish the sample size. We designed a Bayesian adaptive trial comparing ventilation strategies for patients with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure using simulations. The complexity of the analysis would usually require computationally expensive Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods but this barrier to simulation was overcome using the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations (INLA) algorithm to provide fast, approximate Bayesian inference.

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