Publications by authors named "Lucia Cilloni"

Background: Diagnostic testing plays a critical role in the global COVID-19 response. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) tests are highly accurate, but in resource-limited settings, limited capacity has led to testing delays; whereas lateral flow assays (LFAs) offer opportunities for rapid and affordable testing. We examined the potential epidemiological impact of different strategies for LFA deployment.

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The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted systems of care for infectious diseases-including tuberculosis-and has exposed pervasive inequities that have long marred efforts to combat these diseases. The resulting health disparities often intersect at the individual and community levels in ways that heighten vulnerability to tuberculosis. Effective responses to tuberculosis (and other infectious diseases) must respond to these realities.

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Background: Non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are the cornerstone of infectious disease outbreak response in the absence of effective pharmaceutical interventions. Outbreak strategies often involve combinations of NPIs that may change according to disease prevalence and population response. Little is known with regard to how costly each NPI is to implement.

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Background: Active case finding (ACF) may be valuable in tuberculosis (TB) control, but questions remain about its optimum implementation in different settings. For example, smear microscopy misses up to half of TB cases, yet is cheap and detects the most infectious TB cases. What, then, is the incremental value of using more sensitive and specific, yet more costly, tests such as Xpert MTB/RIF in ACF in a high-burden setting?

Methods And Findings: We constructed a dynamic transmission model of TB, calibrated to be consistent with an urban slum population in India.

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Background: Routine services for tuberculosis (TB) are being disrupted by stringent lockdowns against the novel SARS-CoV-2 virus. We sought to estimate the potential long-term epidemiological impact of such disruptions on TB burden in high-burden countries, and how this negative impact could be mitigated.

Methods: We adapted mathematical models of TB transmission in three high-burden countries (India, Kenya and Ukraine) to incorporate lockdown-associated disruptions in the TB care cascade.

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