European astronaut radiation related cancer risk assessment using dosimetric calculations of organ dose equivalents.

An illustrative sample mission of a Mars swing-by mission lasting one calendar year was chosen to highlight the application of European risk assessment software to cancer (all solid cancer plus leukaemia) risks from radiation exposures in space quantified with organ dose equivalent rates from model calculations based on the quantity Radiation Attributed Decrease of Survival (RADS). The relevant dose equivalent to the colon for radiation exposures from this Mars swing-by mission were found to vary between 198 and 482 mSv. These doses depend on sex and the two other factors investigated here of: solar activity phase (maximum or minimum); and the choice of space radiation quality factor used in the calculations of dose equivalent.

Assessing the impact of neutron relative biological effectiveness on all solid cancer mortality risks in the Japanese atomic bomb survivors.

Purpose: Risk analyses, based on relative biological effectiveness (RBE) estimates for neutrons relative to gammas, were performed; and the change in the curvature of the risk to dose response with increasing neutron RBE was analyzed using all solid cancer data from the Radiation Effect Research Foundation (RERF). Results were compared to those based on incidence data.

Materials And Methods: This analysis is based on RERF mortality data with separate neutron and gamma doses for colon doses, from which organ averaged doses could be calculated.

Application of multi-method-multi-model inference to radiation related solid cancer excess risks models for astronaut risk assessment.

The impact of including model-averaged excess radiation risks (ER) into a measure of radiation attributed decrease of survival (RADS) for the outcome all solid cancer incidence and the impact on the uncertainties is demonstrated. It is shown that RADS applying weighted model averaged ER based on AIC weights result in smaller risk estimates with narrower 95% CI than RADS using ER based on BIC weights. Further a multi-method-multi-model inference approach is introduced that allows calculating one general RADS estimate providing a weighted average risk estimate for a lunar and a Mars mission.

Comparison and multi-model inference of excess risks models for radiation-related solid cancer.

In assessments of detrimental health risks from exposures to ionising radiation, many forms of risk to dose-response models are available in the literature. The usual practice is to base risk assessment on one specific model and ignore model uncertainty. The analysis illustrated here considers model uncertainty for the outcome all solid cancer incidence, when modelled as a function of colon organ dose, using the most recent publicly available data from the Life Span Study on atomic bomb survivors of Japan.

Assessing the impact of different neutron RBEs on the all solid cancer radiation risks obtained from the Japanese A-bomb survivors data.

Purpose: Development of a model characterizing risk variation with RBE to investigate how the incidence risk for all solid cancers combined varies with higher neutron RBEs and different organ dose types.

Material And Methods: The model is based on RERF data with separate neutron and gamma dose information.

Results: For both additive and multiplicative linear excess risks per unit organ averaged dose, a reduction of 50% in the risk coefficient per weighted dose arises when a neutron RBE of 110 is used instead of 10.

Valid versus invalid radiation cancer risk assessment methods illustrated using Swiss population data.

After the nuclear accident in Fukushima, the public interest in radiation related cancer-risk assessment increased. However, interpretations of results from epidemiological studies and comprehension of cancer risk assessment methods can be unclear and involve questions about correctness and validity of the approaches. To shed some light on this potential lack of clarity, valid versus invalid radiation cancer risk assessments methods are illustrated here using Swiss population data.

A bespoke health risk assessment methodology for the radiation protection of astronauts.

An alternative approach that is particularly suitable for the radiation health risk assessment (HRA) of astronauts is presented. The quantity, Radiation Attributed Decrease of Survival (RADS), representing the cumulative decrease in the unknown survival curve at a certain attained age, due to the radiation exposure at an earlier age, forms the basis for this alternative approach. Results are provided for all solid cancer plus leukemia incidence RADS from estimated doses from theoretical radiation exposures accumulated during long-term missions to the Moon or Mars.

Cancer incidence risks above and below 1 Gy for radiation protection in space.

The risk assessment quantities called lifetime attributable risk (LAR) and risk of exposure-induced cancer (REIC) are used to calculate the cumulative cancer incidence risks for astronauts, attributable to radiation exposure accumulated during long term lunar and Mars missions. These risk quantities are based on the most recently published epidemiological data on the Life Span Study (LSS) of Japanese A-bomb survivors, who were exposed to γ-rays and neutrons. In order to analyze the impact of a different neutron RBE on the risk quantities, a model for the neutron relative biological effectiveness (RBE) relative to gammas in the LSS is developed based on an older dataset with less follow-up time.

Deformable image registration uncertainty for inter-fractional dose accumulation of lung cancer proton therapy.

Background And Purpose: Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients show typically large anatomical changes during treatment, making recalculation or adaption necessary. For report and review, the applied treatment dose can be accumulated on the reference planning CT using deformable image registration (DIR). We investigated the dosimetric impact of using six different clinically available DIR algorithms for dose accumulation in presence of inter-fractional anatomy variations.