Survival nomogram for patients with metastatic breast cancer based on the SEER database and an external validation cohort.

Background: On average, 5-10% of patients are diagnosed with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) at the initial diagnosis. This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) in these patients.

Methods: The nomogram was based on a retrospective study of 9435 patients with MBC from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Validation of CTS5 Model in Large-scale Breast Cancer Population and Combination of CTS5 and Ki-67 Status to Develop a Novel Nomogram for Prognosis Prediction.

Background: More than half of patients with early-stage estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer relapse after completing 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy, so it is important to determine which patients are candidates for extended endocrine therapy. The clinical treatment score after 5 years (CTS5) is a prognostic tool developed based on postmenopausal ER+ breast cancer to assess the risk of late distant recurrence (LDR) after 5 years of adjuvant endocrine therapy for breast cancer. We aimed to externally validate the prognostic value of CTS5 in premenopausal and postmenopausal patients and combined with Ki-67 to develop a new model to improve the ability of prognosis prediction.