Adjusted Inference for Multiple Testing Procedure in Group-Sequential Designs.

Adjustment of statistical significance levels for repeated analysis in group-sequential trials has been understood for some time. Adjustment accounting for testing multiple hypotheses is also well understood. There is limited research on simultaneously adjusting for both multiple hypothesis testing and repeated analyses of one or more hypotheses.

A promising biomarker adaptive Phase 2/3 design - Explained and expanded.

This short communication concerns a biomarker adaptive Phase 2/3 design for new oncology drugs with an uncertain biomarker effect. Depending on the outcome of an interim analysis for adaptive decision, a Phase 2 study that starts in a biomarker enriched subpopulation may continue to the end without expansion to Phase 3, expand to Phase 3 in the same population or expand to Phase 3 in a broader population. Each path can enjoy full alpha for hypothesis testing without inflating the overall Type I error.

Statistical Interpretation and Comparison of Waterfall Plots.

Waterfall plots have gained popularity as a visualization tool to present antitumor activity of treatments in oncology, especially for phase I and II trials. The typical waterfall plot in oncology is a bar plot with each bar representing the best percent tumor size reduction from baseline for a patient sorted in descending order along the -axis. As new therapies are routinely developed in combination with standard of care or other investigational treatments, waterfall plot comparison between combination therapy and monotherapy may facilitate development decisions in addition to overall response rate or duration of response.

Framing the statistical criteria for accelerated approval of oncology drugs: A pathway for front runners.

FDA has recently proposed a one-trial approach in Project FrontRunner for both accelerated approval and regular approval in the same trial. The goal of this short communication is to make the regulatory criteria for decision-making on accelerated approval based on the interim analysis more explicit. Two related high-level statistical issues are addressed under simplified yet representative scenarios.

Statistical Considerations on the Use of RWD/RWE for Oncology Drug Approvals: Overview and Lessons Learned.

Despite increasing utilization of real-world data (RWD)/real-world evidence (RWE) in regulatory submissions, their application to oncology drug approvals has seen limited success. Real-world data is most commonly summarized as a benchmark control for a single arm study or used to augment the concurrent control in a randomized clinical trial (RCT). While there has been substantial research on usage of RWD/RWE, our goal is to provide a comprehensive overview of their use in oncology drug approval submissions to inform future RWD/RWE study design.

Statistical considerations of designs for single-arm proof-of-concept oncology trial with time-to-event endpoint.

Single-arm proof-of-concept (PoC) clinical studies are widely used to accelerate the signal-finding process in oncology drug development before or in lieu of randomized PoC studies. Traditionally the primary endpoint for single-arm PoC studies is objective response rate (ORR). However, in cases that ORR is not applicable or not clinically relevant, time-to-event (TTE) endpoint is used instead.

Assessment of added activity of an antitumor agent.

An unprecedented number of novel oncology drugs are under preclinical and clinical development, and nearly all are developed in combinations. With an over-reliance on biological hypotheses, there is less effort to establish single agent activity before initiating late clinical development. This may be contributing to a decreased success rate going from phase 1 to approval in the immunotherapy era.

Family-wise type I error rate control for an extended 2-in-1 design with graphical approach in oncology drug development.

Nowadays, in oncology drug development, when an experimental treatment shows a promising anti-tumor effect in Phase I efficacy expansion, a Phase III pivotal trial may be launched directly. To mitigate the risk of skipping the traditional randomized Phase II proof of concept (POC) study, the 2-in-1 design was proposed by Chen et al. (2018).

A unified framework for weighted parametric group sequential design.

Group sequential design (GSD) is widely used in clinical trials in which correlated tests of multiple hypotheses are used. Multiple primary objectives resulting in tests with known correlations include evaluating (1) multiple experimental treatment arms, (2) multiple populations, (3) the combination of multiple arms and multiple populations, or (4) any asymptotically multivariate normal tests. In this paper, we focus on the first three of these and extend the framework of the weighted parametric multiple test procedure from fixed designs with a single analysis per objective to a GSD setting where different objectives may be assessed at the same or different times, each in a group sequential fashion.

Independent action models and prediction of combination treatment effects for response rate, duration of response and tumor size change in oncology drug development.

An unprecedented number of new cancer targets are in development, and most are being developed in combination therapies. Early oncology development is strategically challenged in choosing the best combinations to move forward to late stage development. The most common early endpoints to be assessed in such decision-making include objective response rate, duration of response and tumor size change.

A novel framework of Bayesian optimal interval design for phase I trials with late-onset toxicities.

As molecularly targeted agents (MTAs) and immunotherapies have widely demonstrated delayed toxicity profile after multiple treatment cycles, the traditional phase I dose-finding designs may not be appropriate anymore because they just account for the acute toxicities occurring in the early period of treatment. When the dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) assessment window is prolonged to account for late-onset DLTs, it will cause logistic issues if the enrollment is suspended until all the DLT information is collected. We propose a novel framework to estimate the toxicity probability in the scenarios where some patients' DLT information are not complete and then implement the Bayesian optimal interval (BOIN) design to make decisions on dose escalation/de-escalation.

Multiplicity for a group sequential trial with biomarker subpopulations.

Biomarker subpopulations have become increasingly important for drug development in targeted therapies. The use of biomarkers has the potential to facilitate more effective outcomes by guiding patient selection appropriately, thus enhancing the benefit-risk profile and improving trial power. Studying a broad population simultaneously with a more targeted one allows the trial to determine the population for which a treatment is effective and allows a goal of making approved regulatory labeling as inclusive as is appropriate.

Bayesian optimal phase II clinical trial design with time-to-event endpoint.

We propose a Bayesian optimal phase II (BOP2) design for clinical trials with a time-to-event endpoint (eg, progression-free survival [PFS]) or co-primary endpoints consisted of a time-to-event endpoint and a categorical endpoint (eg, PFS and toxicity). We use an exponential-inverse gamma model to model the time to event. At each interim, the go/no-go decision is made by comparing the posterior probabilities of the event of interest with an adaptive probability cutoff.

In Vitro Effects of Paclitaxel and Cremophor EL on Human Riboflavin Transporter SLC52A2.

Paclitaxel, a mitotic inhibitor with anti-cancer effects, is dissolved in Cremophor EL (CrEL). However, peripheral neuropathy is a known side effect. As one of the mechanisms of the neuropathy, mitochondrial dysfunction has been proposed, while peroxidation products are involved in the cause of CrEL-induced neurotoxicity.

Testing monotherapy and combination therapy in one trial with biomarker consideration.

It is a common scenario that an experimental oncology therapy, as a monotherapy, may be more effective than standard of care (SOC) in a biomarker positive population but less so or even inferior to SOC in biomarker negative population. At the same time, due to synergistic or additive effect, the combination of the two may be more effective than SOC alone in the all-comer population. The conventional development paradigm is to conduct two separate Phase III trials, one with the monotherapy versus SOC in the biomarker positive population, and the other with the combination therapy versus SOC in the all-comer population.

Defining the efficacy of neurokinin-1 receptor antagonists in controlling chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting in different emetogenic settings-a meta-analysis.

Purpose: This meta-analysis was performed to evaluate the efficacy of neurokinin-1 receptor antagonists (NK1RAs) for the prevention of chemotherapy-induced nausea and vomiting (CINV) across different categories of chemotherapeutic emetogenicity.

Methods: A systematic review of MEDLINE (via PubMed) and OVID databases, plus major oncology conferences, identified randomized, controlled trials evaluating NK1RAs in combination with a 5-HT3 RA plus a glucocorticoid for management of CINV. Efficacy end points were no emesis, no nausea, and complete response (CR) rates.

The Esophageal Anastomotic Stricture Index (EASI) for the management of esophageal atresia.

Background: Anastomotic stricture is the most common complication following repair of esophageal atresia. An Esophageal Anastomotic Stricture Index (EASI) based on the postoperative esophagram may identify patients at high risk of stricture formation.

Methods: Digital images of early postoperative esophagrams of patients undergoing EA repair from 2005 to 2013 were assessed.

Vorinostat or placebo in combination with bortezomib in patients with multiple myeloma (VANTAGE 088): a multicentre, randomised, double-blind study.

Background: We aimed to assess efficacy and tolerability of vorinostat in combination with bortezomib for treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory multiple myeloma.

Methods: In our randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial, we enrolled adults (≥18 years) at 174 university hospitals in 31 countries worldwide. Eligible patients had to have non-refractory multiple myeloma that previously responded to treatment (one to three regimens) but were currently progressing, ECOG performance statuses of 2 or less, and no continuing toxic effects from previous treatment.

The poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase inhibitor niraparib (MK4827) in BRCA mutation carriers and patients with sporadic cancer: a phase 1 dose-escalation trial.

Background: Poly(ADP-ribose) polymerase (PARP) is implicated in DNA repair and transcription regulation. Niraparib (MK4827) is an oral potent, selective PARP-1 and PARP-2 inhibitor that induces synthetic lethality in preclinical tumour models with loss of BRCA and PTEN function. We investigated the safety, tolerability, maximum tolerated dose, pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic profiles, and preliminary antitumour activity of niraparib.

Evaluation of early efficacy endpoints for proof-of-concept trials.

A Phase II proof-of-concept (POC) trial usually uses an early efficacy endpoint other than a clinical endpoint as the primary endpoint. Because of the advancement in bioscience and technology, which has yielded a number of new surrogate biomarkers, drug developers often have more candidate endpoints to choose from than they can handle. As a result, selection of endpoint and its effect size as well as choice of type I/II error rates are often at the center of heated debates in design of POC trials.

The cost effectiveness and budget impact of natalizumab for formulary inclusion.

Background: Crohn's disease (CD) and multiple sclerosis (MS) are debilitating autoimmune diseases, which represent a substantial cost burden in the context of managed care. As a corollary, there is an unmet pharmacotherapeutic need in patient populations with relapsing forms of MS, in addition to populations with moderately to severely active CD with evidence of inflammation who have experienced an inadequate response to other mainstream therapies. The purpose of this study was to analyze the clinical and economic data associated with natalizumab (Tysabri) and to determine the potential impact of its formulary inclusion in a hypothetical health plan.

Optimal two-stage randomized multinomial designs for Phase II oncology trials.

A new two-stage design is proposed that is suitable for early detection of the anticancer activity of experimental therapies in Phase II oncology trials. The endpoints of interest are response rate and early progression rate. The anticancer activity is defined by a positive signal in one endpoint and a non-negative signal in the other endpoint.

Phase I trial of oral vorinostat (suberoylanilide hydroxamic acid, SAHA) in patients with advanced multiple myeloma.

A Phase I trial (NCT00109109) of oral vorinostat 200, 250 or 300 mg twice daily for 5 days/week/4-week cycle or 200, 300, or 400 mg twice daily for 14 days/3-week cycle until progressive disease or intolerable toxicity was conducted. Patients with measurable, relapsed/refractory multiple myeloma were eligible. The objectives were to determine maximum tolerated doses (MTDs) and assess activity and safety.

A study to determine the effects of food and multiple dosing on the pharmacokinetics of vorinostat given orally to patients with advanced cancer.

Purpose: This phase I study, conducted in advanced-stage cancer patients, assessed the safety and tolerability of oral vorinostat (suberoylanilide hydroxamic acid), single-dose and multiple-dose pharmacokinetics of vorinostat, and the effect of a high-fat meal on vorinostat pharmacokinetics.

Experimental Design: Patients (n = 23) received single doses of 400 mg vorinostat on day 1 (fasted) and day 5 (fed) with 48 hours of pharmacokinetic sampling on both days. Patients received 400 mg vorinostat once daily on days 7 to 28.

Changes in anxiety-related behaviors and hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal activity in mice lacking the 5-HT-3A receptor.

The serotonin-3 (5-HT-3A) receptor has been localized in limbic and brainstem structures that regulate anxiety-related behavior and hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal (HPA) activity, but its role in regulating anxiety-related behaviors is equivocal, and evidence for its role in regulating HPA activity is limited. Therefore, we used 5-HT-3A receptor knockout (KO) mice to further study these issues. Behavior in the elevated plus maze, open field, light-dark box and after Pavlovian fear conditioning was examined in addition to HPA activity under basal and acute stress conditions.