Prediction of lethal or life-threatening cardio-circulatory events in patients who apparently are not at risk : a preliminary retrospective echocardiographic study.

Major cardio-circulatory events, defined as circulatory death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina, or stroke, sometimes occur unexpectedly in patients who apparently have no evident increase in risk (absence of overt heart failure, hypertrophy, uncontrolled or severe hypertension, previous or present myocardial infarction, angina, myocarditis, infectious or any other pericardial, valvular or great vessel disease, heart malformation, significant arrhythmia or conduction disturbances). To investigate whether 2D-guided M-mode echocardiographic variables have predictive value in such patients, a retrospective analysis of 1,965 cases was performed. Twenty-one patients were found who on the day of echocardiographic examination fulfilled the above criteria, but suffered major cardio-circulatory events during the first following year (1 yr group), 12 during the second year (2 yr group), and 16 during the third year (3 yr group).