Publications by authors named "L I Gardner"
The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted shortcomings in forecasting models, such as unreliable inputs/outputs and poor performance at critical points. As COVID-19 remains a threat, it is imperative to improve current forecasting approaches by incorporating reliable data and alternative forecasting targets to better inform decision-makers. Wastewater-based epidemiology (WBE) has emerged as a viable method to track COVID-19 transmission, offering a more reliable metric than reported cases for forecasting critical outcomes like hospitalizations.
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- Hemoglobin and hematocrit are common tests to identify anemia, but their results can differ significantly, particularly in children and pregnant individuals.
- The study analyzed data from 7,052 children and 1,437 pregnant persons, revealing that anemia estimates based on hemoglobin and hematocrit varied, with a notable percentage detected by only one test.
- The findings suggest that using these biomarkers interchangeably could lead to underdiagnosis and lack of treatment for anemia, emphasizing the need for accurate assessments in clinical practice.
When are predictions useful? A new method for evaluating epidemic forecasts.
BMC Glob Public Health
October 2024
Background: COVID-19 will not be the last pandemic of the twenty-first century. To better prepare for the next one, it is essential that we make honest appraisals of the utility of different responses to COVID. In this paper, we focus specifically on epidemiologic forecasting.
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