Publications by authors named "Konstantin I Shuvalov"

We consider the actual task of developing a mathematical apparatus for quick assessment of the political, social, and economic situation by analyzing the most significant security indicators, taking into account the impact of the pandemic. Therefore we have developed a model concept for predicting national security indicators based on systemic dynamics. Mathematical models created under this concept will consider national security indicators used in some countries' documents (White Papers) and a set of factors describing the situation with the spread of Covid-19.

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