Practical parameter identifiability and handling of censored data with Bayesian inference in mathematical tumour models.

Mechanistic mathematical models (MMs) are a powerful tool to help us understand and predict the dynamics of tumour growth under various conditions. In this work, we use 5 MMs with an increasing number of parameters to explore how certain (often overlooked) decisions in estimating parameters from data of experimental tumour growth affect the outcome of the analysis. In particular, we propose a framework for including tumour volume measurements that fall outside the upper and lower limits of detection, which are normally discarded.

The effect of random virus failure following cell entry on infection outcome and the success of antiviral therapy.

A virus infection can be initiated with very few or even a single infectious virion, and as such can become extinct, i.e. stochastically fail to take hold or spread significantly.

Modelling Radiation Cancer Treatment with a Death-Rate Term in Ordinary and Fractional Differential Equations.

Fractional calculus has recently been applied to the mathematical modelling of tumour growth, but its use introduces complexities that may not be warranted. Mathematical modelling with differential equations is a standard approach to study and predict treatment outcomes for population-level and patient-specific responses. Here, we use patient data of radiation-treated tumours to discuss the benefits and limitations of introducing fractional derivatives into three standard models of tumour growth.

Chemotherapy-induced cachexia and model-informed dosing to preserve lean mass in cancer treatment.

Although chemotherapy is a standard treatment for cancer, it comes with significant side effects. In particular, certain agents can induce severe muscle loss, known as cachexia, worsening patient quality of life and treatment outcomes. 5-fluorouracil, an anti-cancer agent used to treat several cancers, has been shown to cause muscle loss.

Serum proteins on nanoparticles: early stages of the "protein corona".

Nanoparticles in biological systems such as the bloodstream are exposed to a complex solution of biomolecules. A "corona" monolayer of proteins has historically been thought to form on nanoparticles upon introduction into such environments. To examine the first steps of protein binding, Fluorescence Correlation/Cross Correlation Spectroscopy and Fluorescence Resonance Energy Transfer were used to directly analyze four different nanoparticle systems.

Mathematical Model of Muscle Wasting in Cancer Cachexia.

Cancer cachexia is a debilitating condition characterized by an extreme loss of skeletal muscle mass, which negatively impacts patients' quality of life, reduces their ability to sustain anti-cancer therapies, and increases the risk of mortality. Recent discoveries have identified the myostatin/activin A/ActRIIB pathway as critical to muscle wasting by inducing satellite cell quiescence and increasing muscle-specific ubiquitin ligases responsible for atrophy. Remarkably, pharmacological blockade of the ActRIIB pathway has been shown to reverse muscle wasting and prolong the survival time of tumor-bearing animals.

Mathematically modelling inflammation as a promoter of tumour growth.

Inflammation is now known to play a significant role in tumour growth and progression. It is also difficult to adequately quantify systemic inflammation and the resulting localized effects in cancer. Here, we use experimental data to infer the possible contributions of inflammation in a mouse model of cancer.

Modeling the Dichotomy of the Immune Response to Cancer: Cytotoxic Effects and Tumor-Promoting Inflammation.

Although the immune response is often regarded as acting to suppress tumor growth, it is now clear that it can be both stimulatory and inhibitory. The interplay between these competing influences has complex implications for tumor development, cancer dormancy, and immunotherapies. In fact, early immunotherapy failures were partly due to a lack in understanding of the nonlinear growth dynamics these competing immune actions may cause.

Mathematical models of immune-induced cancer dormancy and the emergence of immune evasion.

Cancer dormancy, a state in which cancer cells persist in a host without significant growth, is a natural forestallment of progression to manifest disease and is thus of great clinical interest. Experimental work in mice suggests that in immune-induced dormancy, the longer a cancer remains dormant in a host, the more resistant the cancer cells become to cytotoxic T-cell-mediated killing. In this work, mathematical models are used to analyse the possible causative mechanisms of cancer escape from immune-induced dormancy.

Transcriptional changes induced by the tumor dormancy-associated microRNA-190.

Tumor dormancy is a highly prevalent stage in cancer progression. We have previously generated and characterized in vivo experimental models of human tumor dormancy in which micro-tumors remain occult until they spontaneously shift into rapid tumor growth. We showed that the dormant micro-tumors undergo a stable microRNA (miRNA) switch during their transition from dormancy to a fast-growing phenotype and reported the identification of a consensus signature of human tumor dormancy-associated miRNAs (DmiRs).

Tumor-immune dynamics regulated in the microenvironment inform the transient nature of immune-induced tumor dormancy.

Cancer in a host induces responses that increase the ability of the microenvironment to sustain the growing mass, for example, angiogenesis, but cancer cells can have varying sensitivities to these sustainability signals. Here, we show that these sensitivities are significant determinants of ultimate tumor fate, especially in response to treatments and immune interactions. We present a mathematical model of cancer-immune interactions that modifies generalized logistic growth with both immune-predation and immune-recruitment.

A review of mathematical models of cancer-immune interactions in the context of tumor dormancy.

The role of the immune system in tumor dormancy is now well established. In an immune-induced dormant state, potentially lethal cancer cells persist in a state where growth is restricted, to little or no increase, by the host's immune response. To describe this state in the context of cancer progression and immune response, basic temporal (spatially homogeneous) quantitative predator-prey constructs are discussed, along with some current and proposed augmentations that incorporate potentially significant biological phenomena such as the cancer cell transition to a quiescent state or the time delay in T-cell activation.

A MATHEMATICAL ANALYSIS OF PHYSIOLOGICAL AND MOLECULAR MECHANISMS THAT MODULATE PRESSURE GRADIENTS AND FACILITATE VENTRICULAR EXPANSION IN HYDROCEPHALUS.

Perhaps the greatest paradox in the hydrocephalus field is the failure of researchers to consistently measure transmantle pressure gradients (ventricle to subarachnoid space) in either human or animal models of the communicating form of the disorder. Without such a gradient, conceptualization of how ventricular distention occurs is difficult. Based on evidence from both a mathematical model [35] and experiments in skin [51], we observed that the intraventricular injection of anti-β integrin antibodies in rat brains results in a reduction of periventricular pressures to values below those monitored in the ventricles.

A MATHEMATICAL INVESTIGATION OF THE ROLE OF INTRACRANIAL PRESSURE PULSATIONS AND SMALL GRADIENTS IN THE PATHOGENESIS OF HYDROCEPHALUS.

Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) pulsations have been proposed as a possible causative mechanism for the ventricular enlargement that characterizes the neurological condition known as hydrocephalus. This paper summarizes recent work by the authors to anaylze the effect of CSF pulsations on brain tissue to determine if they are mechanically capable of enlarging the cerebral ventricles. First a poroelastic model is presented to analyze the interactions that occur between the fluid and porous solid constituents of brain tissue due to CSF pulsations.