In this study, we propose and analyze an eco-epidemiological model with disease in prey and incorporated the effect of fear on prey species due to predator population. We assume that the prey population grows logistically in the absence of predator species, and the disease is limited to the prey population only. We divide the total prey population into two distinct classes: susceptible prey and infected prey.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFEur Phys J Spec Top
August 2022
COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling factors of rapid spread of the disease.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe ongoing COVID-19 epidemic spread rapidly throughout India, with 34,587,822 confirmed cases and 468,980 deaths as of November 30, 2021. Major behavioral, clinical, and state interventions have implemented to mitigate the outbreak and prevent the persistence of the COVID-19 in human-to-human transmission in India and worldwide. Hence, the mathematical study of the disease transmission becomes essential to illuminate the real nature of the transmission behavior and control of the diseases.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFMathematical modeling plays an important role to better understand the disease dynamics and designing strategies to manage quickly spreading infectious diseases in lack of an effective vaccine or specific antivirals. During this period, forecasting is of utmost priority for health care planning and to combat COVID-19 pandemic. In this study, we proposed and extended classical SEIR compartment model refined by contact tracing and hospitalization strategies to explain the COVID-19 outbreak.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFIn India, 100,340 confirmed cases and 3155 confirmed deaths due to COVID-19 were reported as of May 18, 2020. Due to absence of specific vaccine or therapy, non-pharmacological interventions including social distancing, contact tracing are essential to end the worldwide COVID-19. We propose a mathematical model that predicts the dynamics of COVID-19 in 17 provinces of India and the overall India.
View Article and Find Full Text PDFThe ongoing novel coronavirus epidemic was announced a pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020, and the Government of India declared a nationwide lockdown on March 25, 2020 to prevent community transmission of the coronavirus disease (COVID)-19. Due to the absence of specific antivirals or vaccine, mathematical modeling plays an important role in better understanding the disease dynamics and in designing strategies to control the rapidly spreading infectious disease. In our study, we developed a new compartmental model that explains the transmission dynamics of COVID-19.
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