Publications by authors named "K D Marvel"

Background: Serial testing for SARS-CoV-2 is recommended to reduce spread of the virus; however, little is known about adherence to recommended testing schedules and reporting practices to health departments.

Objective: The Self-Testing for Our Protection from COVID-19 (STOP COVID-19) study aims to examine adherence to a risk-based COVID-19 testing strategy using rapid antigen tests and reporting of test results to health departments.

Methods: STOP COVID-19 is a 12-week digital study, facilitated using a smartphone app for testing assistance and reporting.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

We assess evidence relevant to Earth's equilibrium climate sensitivity per doubling of atmospheric CO, characterized by an effective sensitivity . This evidence includes feedback process understanding, the historical climate record, and the paleoclimate record. An value lower than 2 K is difficult to reconcile with any of the three lines of evidence.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

Although anthropogenic climate change is expected to have caused large shifts in temperature and rainfall, the detection of human influence on global drought has been complicated by large internal variability and the brevity of observational records. Here we address these challenges using reconstructions of the Palmer drought severity index obtained with data from tree rings that span the past millennium. We show that three distinct periods are identifiable in climate models, observations and reconstructions during the twentieth century.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF

The 2011-2016 Californian drought illustrates that drought-prone areas do not always experience relief once a favorable phase of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) returns. In the 21 century, such an expectation is unrealistic in regions where global warming induces an increase in terrestrial aridity larger than the aridity changes driven by ENSO variability. This premise is also flawed in areas where precipitation supply cannot offset the global warming-induced increased evaporative demand.

View Article and Find Full Text PDF