Publications by authors named "Josh Colston"

Oropouche virus is an arbovirus endemic to the Americas. Periodic outbreaks have occurred since its description in 1955. In late 2023, an outbreak occurred in Peru, centered in and around Iquitos in the Eastern Peruvian Amazon.

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Housing infrastructure and quality is a major determinant of infectious disease risk and other health outcomes in regions where vector borne, waterborne and neglected tropical diseases are endemic. It is important to quantify the geographical distribution of improvements to dwelling components to identify and target resources towards populations at risk. This study aimed to model the sub-national spatial variation in housing materials using covariates with quasi-global coverage and use the resulting estimates to map predicted coverage across the world's low- and middle-income countries.

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Large diagnostic panels allow for pathogens with high or low likelihood of causing attributable illness to be tested simultaneously. Infectious mononucleosis (IM) due to primary infection with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is a common cause of acute febrile illness (AFI) in case series from high-income countries, though its contribution to AFI in tropical low-income settings is unclear. As part of a case-control study using multiplex quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) diagnostics, we set out to determine if primary EBV infection was an underrecognized cause of AFI in the Peruvian Amazon.

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Recent advances in clinical prediction for diarrhoeal aetiology in low- and middle-income countries have revealed that the addition of weather data to clinical data improves predictive performance. However, the optimal source of weather data remains unclear. We aim to compare the use of model estimated satellite- and ground-based observational data with weather station directly observed data for the prediction of aetiology of diarrhoea.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study focuses on the impact of persistent bacterial gastroenteritis in children, revealing that 45.5% of participants experienced at least one persistent episode during the research period.
  • Persistent infections were defined as three or more consecutive months of positive test results, with affected children showing an average of 150 days of positive symptoms.
  • While persistent infections did not significantly affect short-term weight gain, they were linked to a decrease in linear growth over nine months, indicating a serious health risk for young children.
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In countries where soil-transmitted helminth (STH) infections are endemic, deworming programs are recommended to reduce morbidity; however, increasing levels of resistance to benzimidazoles are of concern. In an observational study in Peru, we studied the clinical efficacy of 400 mg of albendazole 20 days after treatment among children aged 2-11 years. Of 426 participants who provided samples, 52.

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Article Synopsis
  • The EFGH surveillance study aims to accurately estimate diarrhea incidence in children aged 6-35 months by considering both the population at risk and those who don't seek medical care.
  • It will utilize a combination of facility-based surveillance and population-based surveys to determine the size of the target population and healthcare-seeking behaviors.
  • The study design addresses challenges like discrepancies in coverage, seasonal changes, and variations in health-seeking behavior to improve the accuracy of its findings over a 24-month period.
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Background: The Enterics for Global Health (EFGH) Peru site will enroll subjects in a periurban area of the low Amazon rainforest. The political department of Loreto lags behind most of Peru in access to improved sources of water and sanitation, per capita income, children born <2.5 kg, and infant and child mortality.

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Article Synopsis
  • * The Planetary Child Health & Enterics Observatory (Plan-EO) unites experts across various fields to create a database that tracks the distribution of pathogens affecting child health, especially in low- and middle-income countries.
  • * Plan-EO aims to generate precise estimates of diarrheal disease burden and provide accessible spatial data to help target health interventions, making it easier for researchers and policymakers to focus on areas most affected by these diseases.
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Because epidemiologic and environmental risk factors for nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) have been reported only infrequently, little information exists about those factors. The state of Virginia, USA, requires certain ecologic features to be included in reports to the Virginia Department of Health, presenting a unique opportunity to study those variables. We analyzed laboratory reports of Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) and M.

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Recent advances in clinical prediction for diarrheal etiology in low- and middle-income countries have revealed that addition of weather data improves predictive performance. However, the optimal source of weather data remains unclear. We aim to compare model estimated satellite- and ground-based observational data with weather station directly-observed data for diarrheal prediction.

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An impressive number of COVID-19 data catalogs exist. However, none are fully optimized for data science applications. Inconsistent naming and data conventions, uneven quality control, and lack of alignment between disease data and potential predictors pose barriers to robust modeling and analysis.

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Background: The study of the etiology of acute febrile illness (AFI) has historically been designed as a prevalence of pathogens detected from a case series. This strategy has an inherent unrealistic assumption that all pathogen detection allows for causal attribution, despite known asymptomatic carriage of the principal causes of acute febrile illness in most low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We designed a semi-quantitative PCR in a modular format to detect bloodborne agents of acute febrile illness that encompassed common etiologies of AFI in the region, etiologies of recent epidemics, etiologies that require an immediate public health response and additional pathogens of unknown endemicity.

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Background: The study of the etiology of acute febrile illness (AFI) has historically been designed as a prevalence of pathogens detected from a case series. This strategy has an inherent unrealistic assumption that all pathogen detection allows for causal attribution, despite known asymptomatic carriage of the principal causes of acute febrile illness in most low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). We designed a semi-quantitative PCR in a modular format to detect bloodborne agents of acute febrile illness that encompassed common etiologies of AFI in the region, etiologies of recent epidemics, etiologies that require an immediate public health response and additional pathogens of unknown endemicity.

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Background: Diarrhea remains a leading cause of childhood illness throughout the world that is increasing due to climate change and is caused by various species of ecologically sensitive pathogens. The emerging Planetary Health movement emphasizes the interdependence of human health with natural systems, and much of its focus has been on infectious diseases and their interactions with environmental and human processes. Meanwhile, the era of big data has engendered a public appetite for interactive web-based dashboards for infectious diseases.

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Brazil has been severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Temperature and humidity have been purported as drivers of SARS-CoV-2 transmission, but no consensus has been reached in the literature regarding the relative roles of meteorology, governmental policy, and mobility on transmission in Brazil. We compiled data on meteorology, governmental policy, and mobility in Brazil's 26 states and one federal district from June 2020 to August 2021.

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Background: Diarrhoeal disease is a leading cause of childhood illness and death globally, and Shigella is a major aetiological contributor for which a vaccine might soon be available. The primary objective of this study was to model the spatiotemporal variation in paediatric Shigella infection and map its predicted prevalence across low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs).

Methods: Individual participant data for Shigella positivity in stool samples were sourced from multiple LMIC-based studies of children aged 59 months or younger.

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Article Synopsis
  • Existing acute febrile illness (AFI) surveillance systems can be adapted to identify new diseases like COVID-19 by testing patients who show symptoms.
  • The CDC worked with health ministries in five countries (Belize, Ethiopia, Kenya, Liberia, and Peru) to integrate COVID-19 testing into their AFI systems from March 2020 to October 2021, enrolling over 5,500 patients.
  • Testing results showed varying positivity rates for SARS-CoV-2 across countries, demonstrating that AFI surveillance can effectively enhance monitoring and response to emerging infectious diseases.
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has caused societal disruption globally, and South America has been hit harder than other lower-income regions. This study modeled the effects of six weather variables on district-level SARS-CoV-2 reproduction numbers ( ) in three contiguous countries of tropical Andean South America (Colombia, Ecuador, and Peru), adjusting for environmental, policy, healthcare infrastructural and other factors.

Methods: Daily time-series data on SARS-CoV-2 infections were sourced from the health authorities of the three countries at the smallest available administrative level.

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  • * A study of 217 children in Amazonian Peru found that early exposure to enteropathogens and environmental enteropathy can disrupt metabolic profiles, affecting cardiometabolic markers detectable later in childhood.
  • * Specific early-life indicators like fecal myeloperoxidase and intestinal permeability markers were linked to adverse metabolic outcomes, suggesting that early enteropathy could predict future metabolic syndrome risk in adulthood.
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Background: There is a need to evaluate antibiotic use, duration of therapy, and stewardship in low- and middle-income countries to guide the development of appropriate stewardship programs that are global in scope and effectively decrease unnecessary antibiotic use.

Methods: We prospectively collected information on illness occurrence and antibiotic use from a cohort of 303 children. We evaluated the incidence, duration of therapy, and appropriateness of antibiotic prescriptions by 5 main antibiotic prescribers (physicians and nurses, pharmacists, nursing assistants, self-prescriptions, and neighbors or family members).

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subspecies detected in infant stool have been associated with numerous subsequent health outcomes and are potential early markers of deviation from healthy developmental trajectories. This analysis derived indicators of carriage and early colonization with and and quantified their associations with a panel of early-life exposures and outcomes. In a sub-study nested within a multi-site birth cohort, extant stool samples from infants in Bangladesh, Pakistan and Tanzania were tested for presence and quantity of two subspecies.

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Diarrheal disease, still a major cause of childhood illness, is caused by numerous, diverse infectious microorganisms, which are differentially sensitive to environmental conditions. Enteropathogen-specific impacts of climate remain underexplored. Results from 15 studies that diagnosed enteropathogens in 64,788 stool samples from 20,760 children in 19 countries were combined.

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Diarrheal disease remains a major cause of childhood mortality and morbidity causing poor health and economic outcomes. In low-resource settings, young children are exposed to numerous risk factors for enteric pathogen transmission within their dwellings, though the relative importance of different transmission pathways varies by pathogen species. The objective of this analysis was to model associations between five household-level risk factors-water, sanitation, flooring, caregiver education, and crowding-and infection status for endemic enteric pathogens in children in five surveillance studies.

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