Publications by authors named "Jonathan Sterne"

Background: Alcohol use is measured in diverse ways across settings. Harmonization of measures is necessary to assess effects of alcohol use in multi-cohort collaborations, such as studies of people with HIV (PWH).

Methods: Data were combined from 14 HIV cohort studies (nine European, five North American) participating in the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration.

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Background: Reported results of clinical trials assessing higher-dose anticoagulation in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 have been inconsistent.

Purpose: To estimate the association of higher- versus lower-dose anticoagulation with clinical outcomes.

Data Sources: Randomized trials were identified from the World Health Organization's International Clinical Trials Registry Platform and ClinicalTrials.

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Article Synopsis
  • Pneumonia, influenza, and COVID-19 can increase the risk of blood clots due to inflammation affecting the thrombotic system, but long-term risks post-hospitalization remain unclear.
  • The study analyzed health data from adults in Wales to assess the incidence of arterial and venous thrombosis after hospitalizations due to COVID-19 and compared it with rates after pneumonia or influenza hospitalizations.
  • Results indicated heightened risk for arterial thrombosis shortly after COVID-19 hospitalization, with adjusted hazard ratios showing a significant decrease in risk over time, but still elevated compared to individuals without COVID-19 hospitalizations.
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Immortal time may arise in survival analyses when individuals are assigned to treatment strategies based on post-eligibility information or selected based on post-assignment eligibility criteria. Selection based on eligibility criteria applied after treatment assignment results in immortal time when the analysis starts the follow-up at assignment. Misclassification of assignment to treatment strategies based on treatment received after eligibility results in immortal time when the treatment strategies are not distinguishable at the start of follow-up.

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Background: Sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 (SGLT2) inhibitors have been proposed as a potential treatment for adults hospitalised with COVID-19, due to their potential anti-inflammatory and endothelial protective effects. Published evidence from randomised control trials (RCTs) does not provide evidence of benefit. We aimed to estimate the effect of oral administration of SGLT2 inhibitors compared with usual care or placebo in adults hospitalised with COVID-19.

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Importance: Associations have been found between COVID-19 and subsequent mental illness in both hospital- and population-based studies. However, evidence regarding which mental illnesses are associated with COVID-19 by vaccination status in these populations is limited.

Objective: To determine which mental illnesses are associated with diagnosed COVID-19 by vaccination status in both hospitalized patients and the general population.

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The first dose of COVID-19 vaccines led to an overall reduction in cardiovascular events, and in rare cases, cardiovascular complications. There is less information about the effect of second and booster doses on cardiovascular diseases. Using longitudinal health records from 45.

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Background: Some studies have shown that the incidence of type 2 diabetes increases after a diagnosis of COVID-19, although the evidence is not conclusive. However, the effects of the COVID-19 vaccine on this association, or the effect on other diabetes subtypes, are not clear. We aimed to investigate the association between COVID-19 and incidence of type 2, type 1, gestational and non-specific diabetes, and the effect of COVID- 19 vaccination, up to 52 weeks after diagnosis.

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  • The study aimed to evaluate how well the Veterans Aging Cohort Study (VACS) Index 2.0 predicts specific causes of death in people with HIV (PWH) receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART), which could improve targeted healthcare interventions.
  • It involved analyzing data from over 59,000 PWH who started ART between 2000 and 2018, calculating their VACS scores and examining the relationship between these scores and causes of death through various statistical models.
  • Findings revealed that the VACS Index 2.0 was particularly effective at predicting deaths from AIDS-related causes and other measurable health issues, but less reliable for predicting suicides or accidental deaths.
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Background: The UK delivered its first "booster" COVID-19 vaccine doses in September 2021, initially to individuals at high risk of severe disease, then to all adults. The BNT162b2 Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine was used initially, then also Moderna mRNA-1273.

Methods: With the approval of the National Health Service England, we used routine clinical data to estimate the effectiveness of boosting with BNT162b2 or mRNA-1273 compared with no boosting in eligible adults who had received two primary course vaccine doses.

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Objective: Interruptions in care of people with HIV (PWH) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) are associated with adverse outcomes, but most studies have relied on composite outcomes. We investigated whether mortality risk following care interruptions differed from mortality risk after first starting ART.

Design: Collaboration of 18 European and North American HIV observational cohort studies of adults with HIV starting ART between 2004 and 2019.

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Importance: The Cluster Randomized Trial of PSA Testing for Prostate Cancer (CAP) reported no effect of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) screening on prostate cancer mortality at a median 10-year follow-up (primary outcome), but the long-term effects of PSA screening on prostate cancer mortality remain unclear.

Objective: To evaluate the effect of a single invitation for PSA screening on prostate cancer-specific mortality at a median 15-year follow-up compared with no invitation for screening.

Design, Setting, And Participants: This secondary analysis of the CAP randomized clinical trial included men aged 50 to 69 years identified at 573 primary care practices in England and Wales.

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Article Synopsis
  • Observational epidemiologic studies are important for understanding how environmental, occupational, and behavioral factors impact human health, and systematic reviews help guide policies based on these studies.
  • A new assessment tool called Risk Of Bias In Non-randomized Studies - of Exposures (ROBINS-E) has been created to evaluate the risk of bias in cohort studies examining the effects of specific exposures on outcomes.
  • ROBINS-E offers a structured method to assess bias through multiple domains using signaling questions, and aims to improve how biases are integrated into evidence synthesis and causal inference in research.
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Infection with SARS-CoV-2 is associated with an increased risk of arterial and venous thrombotic events, but the implications of vaccination for this increased risk are uncertain. With the approval of NHS England, we quantified associations between COVID-19 diagnosis and cardiovascular diseases in different vaccination and variant eras using linked electronic health records for ~40% of the English population. We defined a 'pre-vaccination' cohort (18,210,937 people) in the wild-type/Alpha variant eras (January 2020-June 2021), and 'vaccinated' and 'unvaccinated' cohorts (13,572,399 and 3,161,485 people respectively) in the Delta variant era (June-December 2021).

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Background: Mortality rates among people with HIV have fallen since 1996 following the widespread availability of effective antiretroviral therapy (ART). Patterns of cause-specific mortality are evolving as the population with HIV ages. We aimed to investigate longitudinal trends in cause-specific mortality among people with HIV starting ART in Europe and North America.

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Introduction: Mortality rates for people living with HIV (PLHIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in high-income countries continue to decline. We compared mortality rates among PLHIV on ART in Europe for 2016-2020 with Spectrum's estimates.

Methods: The AIDS Impact Module in Spectrum is a compartmental HIV epidemic model coupled with a demographic population projection model.

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Article Synopsis
  • A recent observational study raised concerns about a potentially higher risk of cardiovascular events in ART-naive individuals with HIV on integrase strand-transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-based ART compared to those on other ART regimens.
  • Researchers aimed to mimic target trials to assess the 4-year cardiovascular event risk in ART-naive and ART-experienced individuals using INSTI versus non-INSTI ART.
  • The study analyzed clinical data from 12 HIV cohorts in Europe and North America, focusing on specific criteria for participant eligibility and using logistic regression models to evaluate the impact of treatment strategies on cardiovascular health.
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Background: The widespread use of the integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) dolutegravir in first-line and second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) might facilitate emerging resistance. The DTG RESIST study combined data from HIV cohorts to examine patterns of drug resistance mutations (DRMs) and identify risk factors for dolutegravir resistance.

Methods: We included cohorts with INSTI resistance data from two collaborations (ART Cohort Collaboration, International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS in Southern Africa), and the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort.

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Background: Understanding demographic disparities in hospitalisation is crucial for the identification of vulnerable populations, interventions, and resource planning.

Methods: Data were from the Antiretroviral Therapy Cohort Collaboration (ART-CC) on people living with HIV in Europe and North America, followed up between January, 2007 and December, 2020. We investigated differences in all-cause hospitalisation according to gender and mode of HIV acquisition, ethnicity, and combined geographical origin and ethnicity, in people living with HIV on modern combination antiretroviral therapy (cART).

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Background: Availability of detailed data from electronic health records (EHRs) has increased the potential to examine the comparative effectiveness of dynamic treatment strategies using observational data. Inverse probability (IP) weighting of dynamic marginal structural models can control for time-varying confounders. However, IP weights for continuous treatments may be sensitive to model choice.

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Importance: Observational (nonexperimental) studies that aim to emulate a randomized trial (ie, the target trial) are increasingly informing medical and policy decision-making, but it is unclear how these studies are reported in the literature. Consistent reporting is essential for quality appraisal, evidence synthesis, and translation of evidence to policy and practice.

Objective: To assess the reporting of observational studies that explicitly aimed to emulate a target trial.

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Background: Survival from colorectal cancer depends on stage at detection. In England, bowel cancer mortality has historically been highest in deprived areas. During the initial stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, it was necessary to temporarily halt many screening programmes, which may have led to inequalities in uptake since screening restarted.

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