Publications by authors named "John Hotchkiss"

Objective: Investigate the role of the Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program (RWHAP) - which funds services for vulnerable and historically disadvantaged populations with HIV - in reducing health inequities among people with HIV over a 10-year horizon.

Design: We use an agent-based microsimulation model to incorporate the complexity of the program and long-time horizon.

Methods: We use a composite measure (the Theil index) to evaluate the health equity implications of the RWHAP for each of four subgroups (based on race and ethnicity, age, gender, and HIV transmission category) and two outcomes (probability of being in care and treatment and probability of being virally suppressed).

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Background: Travel is a major barrier to healthcare access for Veteran Affairs (VA) patients, and disproportionately affects rural Veterans (approximately one quarter of Veterans). The CHOICE/MISSION acts' intent is to increase timeliness of care and decrease travel, although not clearly demonstrated. The impact on outcomes remains unclear.

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Universities are faced with decisions on how to resume campus activities while mitigating severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) risk. To provide guidance for these decisions, we developed an agent-based network model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to assess the potential impact of strategies to reduce outbreaks. The model incorporates important features related to risk at the University of California San Diego.

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Background: The Health Resources and Services Administration's Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program provides services to more than half of all people diagnosed with HIV in the United States. We present and validate a mathematical model that can be used to estimate the long-term public health and cost impact of the federal program.

Methods: We developed a stochastic, agent-based model that reflects the current HIV epidemic in the United States.

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Background: With an annual budget of more than $2 billion, the Health Resources and Services Administration's Ryan White HIV/AIDS Program (RWHAP) is the third largest source of public funding for HIV care and treatment in the United States, yet little analysis has been done to quantify the long-term public health and economic impacts of the federal program.

Methods: Using an agent-based, stochastic model, we estimated health care costs and outcomes over a 50-year period in the presence of the RWHAP relative to those expected to prevail if the comprehensive and integrated system of medical and support services funded by the RWHAP were not available. We made a conservative assumption that, in the absence of the RWHAP, only uninsured clients would lose access to these medical and support services.

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Article Synopsis
  • Kidney disease is a widespread and costly condition, with a new national system (VA-REINS) set up to track and analyze chronic kidney disease (CKD) among US veterans.
  • In fiscal year 2014, 1.1 million veterans were identified with CKD using strict definitions, and 2.5 million with more lenient criteria, revealing significant prevalence among VA users.
  • The VA invested around $18 billion in CKD care, largely for patients at stage 3, and aims to use VA-REINS for better disease management and improved patient care quality.
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Background: Chronic kidney disease palliative care guidelines would benefit from more diverse and objectively defined health status measures.

Aim: The aim is to identify high-risk patients from administrative data and facilitate timely and uniform palliative care involvement.

Design: It is a retrospective cohort study.

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Purpose: A recent randomised controlled trial indicated that providing long-term multifocal wearers with a pair of distance single-vision spectacles for use outside the home reduced falls risk in active older people. However, it also found that participants disliked continually switching between using two pairs of glasses and adherence to the intervention was poor. In this study we determined whether intermediate addition multifocals (which could be worn most of the time inside and outside the home and thus avoid continual switching) could provide similar gait safety on stairs to distance single vision spectacles whilst also providing adequate 'short-term' reading and near vision.

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A study of the process of pharmacokinetics-pharmacodynamics (PKPD) of antibiotics and their interaction with bacteria during peritoneal dialysis associated peritonitis (PDAP) is presented. We propose a mathematical model describing the evolution of bacteria population in the presence of antibiotics for different peritoneal dialysis regimens. Using the model along with experimental data, clinical parameters, and physiological values, we compute variations in PD fluid distributions, drug concentrations, and number of bacteria in peritoneal and extra-peritoneal cavities.

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Background: Falls sustained when descending stairs are the leading cause of accidental death in older adults. Highly visible edge highlighters/friction strips (often set back from the tread edge) are sometimes used to improve stair safety, but there is no evidence for the usefulness of either.

Objective: To determine whether an edge highlighter and its location relative to the tread edge affect foot placement/clearance and accidental foot contacts when descending stairs.

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Importance: Older adults are often excluded from clinical trials. The benefit of preventive interventions tested in younger trial populations may be reduced when applied to older adults in the clinical setting if they are less likely to survive long enough to experience those outcomes targeted by the intervention.

Objective: To extrapolate a treatment effect similar to those reported in major randomized clinical trials of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor blockers for prevention of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) to a real-world population of older patients with chronic kidney disease.

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Given that the leading clinical conditions associated with acute kidney injury (AKI), namely, sepsis, major surgery, heart failure, and hypovolemia, are all associated with shock, it is tempting to attribute all AKI to ischemia on the basis of macrohemodynamic changes. However, an increasing body of evidence has suggested that in many patients, AKI can occur in the absence of overt signs of global renal hypoperfusion. Indeed, sepsis-induced AKI can occur in the setting of normal or even increased renal blood flow.

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Perceived time is inherently malleable. For example, adaptation to relatively long or short sensory events leads to a repulsive aftereffect such that subsequent events appear to be contracted or expanded (duration adaptation). Perceived visual duration can also be distorted via concurrent presentation of discrepant auditory durations (multisensory integration).

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Background: Medical care commonly involves the apprehension of complex patterns of patient derangements to which the practitioner responds with patterns of interventions, as opposed to single therapeutic maneuvers. This complexity renders the objective assessment of practice patterns using conventional statistical approaches difficult.

Methods: Combinatorial approaches drawn from symbolic dynamics are used to encode the observed patterns of patient derangement and associated practitioner response patterns as sequences of symbols.

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Purpose Of Review: The number of individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) is rising, and these individuals often require intensive care.

Recent Findings: Patients with CKD and ESRD require critical care more frequently than those without these conditions and have similar reasons for requiring critical care as the general population. However, the burden of comorbidities, overall severity of illness as assessed by standard scoring systems, and mortality are higher in patients with ESRD than in the non-ESRD critically ill.

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The dynamics of health and health care provision in the United States vary substantially across regions, and there is substantial regional heterogeneity in population density, age distribution, disease prevalence, race and ethnicity, poverty and the ability to access care. Geocoding and geographic information systems (GIS) are important tools to link patient or population location to information regarding these characteristics. In this review, we provide an overview of basic GIS concepts and provide examples to illustrate how GIS techniques have been applied to the study of kidney disease, and in particular to understanding the interplay between race, poverty, rural residence and the planning of renal services for this population.

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The task of deciding how long sensory events seem to last is one that the human nervous system appears to perform rapidly and, for sub-second intervals, seemingly without conscious effort. That these estimates can be performed within and between multiple sensory and motor domains suggest time perception forms one of the core, fundamental processes of our perception of the world around us. Given this significance, the current paucity in our understanding of how this process operates is surprising.

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Peritoneal dialysis-associated peritonitis (PDAP) can be treated using very different regimens of antimicrobial administration, regimens that result in different pharmacokinetic outcomes and systemic exposure levels. Currently, there is no population-level pharmacokinetic framework germane to the treatment of PDAP. We coupled a differential-equation-based model of antimicrobial kinetics to a Monte Carlo simulation framework, and conducted "in silico" clinical trials to explore the anticipated effects of different antimicrobial dosing regimens on relevant pharmacokinetic parameters (AUC/MIC and time greater than 5 ×MIC) and the level of systemic exposure.

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Background: Dialysis patients and patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) experience a substantial risk for abnormal autonomic function and abnormal heart rate variability (HRV). It remains unknown whether HRV changes across sleep stages in patients with different severity of CKD or dialysis dependency. We hypothesized that high-frequency (HF) HRV (vagal tone) will be attenuated from wakefulness to non-rapid eye movement (NREM) and then to rapid eye movement (REM) sleep in dialysis patients as compared to patients with CKD.

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Background: High vascular flow aggravates lung damage in animal models of ventilator-induced lung injury. Positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP) can attenuate ventilator-induced lung injury, but its continued effectiveness in the setting of antecedent lung injury is unclear. The objective of the present study was to evaluate whether the application of PEEP diminishes lung injury induced by concurrent high vascular flow and high alveolar pressures in normal lungs and in a preinjury lung model.

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There are currently no accepted regulatory models for assessing the potential of a substance to cause respiratory sensitization and allergy. In contrast, a number of models exist for the assessment of contact sensitization and allergic contact dermatitis (ACD). Research indicates that respiratory sensitizers may be identified through contact sensitization assays such as the local lymph node assay, although only a small subset of the compounds that yield positive results in these assays are actually respiratory sensitizers.

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Background And Objectives: Infectious diseases and antimicrobial-resistant microorganisms are a growing problem for the dialysis population. The frequency of patient visits and intimate, prolonged physical contact with the inanimate environment during dialysis treatments make these facilities potentially efficient venues for nosocomial pathogen transmission. Isolation measures and infection control practices can be inconvenient and consume limited resources.

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