Forecasting the impact of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy for early-stage lung cancer on the thoracic surgery workforce.

Objectives: To predict variation in thoracic surgery workforce requirements with the introduction of stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) for the treatment of early-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods: Using Canadian census microdata and the Canadian Community Health Survey, a microsimulation model representing the national population was developed. The demand component simulates the incidence of lung cancer, incorporating the impact of computed tomography (CT) screening for high-risk individuals (>30 pack-year smoking history; age 55-74 years).

The impact of computed tomographic screening for lung cancer on the thoracic surgery workforce.

Background: This study aimed to predict variation in the thoracic surgery workforce requirements with the introduction of a national chest computed tomographic (CT) screening program for individuals at high risk of lung cancer.

Methods: Using Canadian census microdata and the Canadian Community Health Survey, a microsimulation model representing the national population was developed. The demand component simulates the incidence of lung cancer, whereas the supply component simulates the number of practicing thoracic surgeons.

A novel approach for the accurate prediction of thoracic surgery workforce requirements in Canada.

Objective: To develop a microsimulation model of thoracic surgery workforce supply and demand to forecast future labor requirements.

Methods: The Canadian Community Health Survey and Canadian Census data were used to develop a microsimulation model. The demand component simulated the incidence of lung cancer; the supply component simulated the number of practicing thoracic surgeons.