Utility of the "surprise" question to identify dialysis patients with high mortality.

Background And Objectives: Dialysis patients are increasingly characterized by older age, multiple comorbidities, and shortened life expectancy. This study investigated whether the "surprise" question, "Would I be surprised if this patient died in the next year?" identifies patients who are at high risk for early mortality.

Design, Setting, Participants, & Measurements: This prospective cohort study of 147 patients in three hemodialysis dialysis units classified patients into "yes" and "no" groups on the basis of the "surprise" question response and tracked patient status (alive or dead) at 12 mo.