Predicting flood stages in watersheds with different scales using hourly rainfall dataset: A high-volume rainfall features empowered machine learning approach.

Accurate prediction of instantaneous high lake water levels and flood flows (flood stages) from micro-catchments to big river basins are critical for flood forecasting. Lake Carl Blackwell, a small-watershed reservoir in the south-central USA, served as a primary case study due to its rich historical dataset. Bearing knowledge that both current and previous rainfall contributes to the reservoirs' water body, a series of hourly rainfall features were created to maximize predicting power, which include total rainfall amounts in the current hour, the past 2 h, 3 h, …, 600 h in addition to previous-day lake levels.