Publications by authors named "Janet R Dickson"
Objective: To develop an integrated health forecasting model as part of the International Futures (IFs) modelling system.
Methods: The IFs model begins with the historical relationships between economic and social development and cause-specific mortality used by the Global Burden of Disease project but builds forecasts from endogenous projections of these drivers by incorporating forward linkages from health outcomes back to inputs like population and economic growth. The hybrid IFs system adds alternative structural formulations for causes not well served by regression models and accounts for changes in proximate health risk factors.