Climate change fluctuations can increase population abundance and range size.

Climate change threatens many species by a poleward/upward movement of their thermal niche. While we know that faster movement has stronger impacts, little is known on how fluctuations of niche movement affect population outcomes. Environmental fluctuations often affect populations negatively, but theory and experiments have revealed some positive effects.

Moving-habitat models: A numerical approach.

As the global climate changes, biological populations have to adapt in place or move in space to stay within their preferred temperature regime. Empirical evidence suggests that shifting speeds of temperature isoclines are location and elevation dependent and may accelerate over time. We present a mathematical tool to study transient behaviour of population dynamics within such moving habitats to discern between populations at high and low risk of extinction.

Individual behavior at habitat edges may help populations persist in moving habitats.

Moving-habitat models aim to characterize conditions for population persistence under climate-change scenarios. Existing models do not incorporate individual-level movement behavior near habitat edges. These small-scale details have recently been shown to be crucially important for large-scale predictions of population spread and persistence in patchy landscapes.