Costs and Causes of Oncology Drug Attrition With the Example of Insulin-Like Growth Factor-1 Receptor Inhibitors.

Importance: The development of oncology drugs is expensive and beset by a high attrition rate. Analysis of the costs and causes of translational failure may help to reduce attrition and permit the more appropriate use of resources to reduce mortality from cancer.

Objective: To analyze the causes of failure and expenses incurred in clinical trials of novel oncology drugs, with the example of insulin-like growth factor-1 receptor (IGF-1R) inhibitors, none of which was approved for use in oncology practice.

Should lethal arrhythmias in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy be predicted using non-electrophysiological methods?

While sudden cardiac death (SCD) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is due to arrhythmias, the guidelines for prediction of SCD are based solely on non-electrophysiological methods. This study aims to stimulate thinking about whether the interests of patients with HCM are better served by using current, 'risk factor', methods of prediction or by further development of electrophysiological methods to determine arrhythmic risk. Five published predictive studies of SCD in HCM, which contain sufficient data to permit analysis, were analysed to compute receiver operating characteristics together with their confidence bounds to compare their formal prediction either by bootstrapping or Monte Carlo analysis.