Forecasting medical waste in Istanbul using a novel nonlinear grey Bernoulli model optimized by firefly algorithm.

Waste management has gained global importance, aligning with the escalating impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the associated concerns regarding medical waste, which poses threats to public health and environmental sustainability. In Istanbul, medical waste is considered a significant concern due to the rising volume of this waste, along with challenges in collection, incineration and storage. At this juncture, precise estimation of the waste volume is crucial for resource planning and allocation.