A Poisson regression approach for assessing morbidity risk and determinants among under five children in Nigeria.

In this paper, we have provided more insights on the relationship between under five morbidity in Nigeria and some background characteristics using a Poisson regression model and the most recent 2018 NDHS data on Acute Respiratory Infection (ARI), diarrhoea and fever. Some of our results are that children 36-47 months old have the highest risk of ARI [OR = 1.45; CI (1.

Unit upper truncated Weibull distribution with extension to 0 and 1 inflated model - Theory and applications.

A two-parameter unit distribution and its regression model plus its extension to 0 and 1 inflation is introduced and studied. The distribution is called the unit upper truncated Weibull (UUTW) distribution, while the inflated variant is called the inflated unit upper truncated Weibull (ZOIUUTW) distribution. The UUTW distribution has an increasing and a J-shaped hazard rate function.

Time series and power law analysis of crop yield in some east African countries.

We carry out a time series analysis on the yearly crop yield data in six east African countries (Burundi, Kenya, Somalia, Tanzania, Uganda and Rwanda) using the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model. We describe the upper tail of the yearly crop yield data in those countries using the power law, lognormal, Fréchet and stretched exponential distributions. The forecast of the fitted ARIMA models suggests that the majority of the crops in different countries will experience neither an increase nor a decrease in yield from 2019 to 2028.

Forecasting Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall of Foreign Exchange Rate Volatility of Major African Currencies via GARCH and Dynamic Conditional Correlation Analysis.

Research on the exchange rate volatility and dynamic conditional correlation of African currencies/financial markets interdependence appears to be limited. In this paper, we employ GARCH models to characterize the exchange rate volatility of eight major African currencies. The variation of interdependence with respect to time is described using the DCC-GARCH model.

-Power transformed transformed power function distribution with applications.

By standard transformation of a random variable, we obtained a partially bounded one-parameter version of the bounded three-parameter power function distribution by Saran and Pandey (2004) which we called the Transformed Power Function (TPF) distribution and based on an alpha-power transformation method due to Mahdavi and Kundu (2017) we generalized the TPF distribution as the -Power Transformed Transformed Power Function (PTTPF) distribution. Some of the properties of the PTTPF distribution are given, and we approached the parameter estimation by three methods, namely: maximum likelihood, ordinary least-squares, and weighted least-squares, but after comparing the results from a simulation study, we settled for the maximum likelihood. The new distribution is suitable for modeling data with either decreasing or upside-down bathtub hazard rates.

Socio-economic and demographic impacts on the full awareness of the methods for controlling/preventing the spread of COVID-19 among social media users in some African countries at the onset of the pandemic.

Objective: In Africa, most countries continue to battle COVID-19 with cases of newly infected still being recorded. In this note, we investigate how socioeconomic and demographic factors affected individuals awareness on the methods for controlling/preventing the spread of COVID-19 in some parts of Africa at the onset of the pandemic.

Results: Based on regression modelling, we find that having full awareness does not depend on religious affiliation.

The impact of socio-demographic factors on the survival of cancer patients in Zimbabwe.

We provide a survival analysis of cancer patients in Zimbabwe. Our results show that young cancer patients have lower but not significant hazard rate compared to old cancer patients. Male cancer patients have lower but not significant hazard rate compared to female cancer patients.

On the Rayleigh-geometric distribution with applications.

A two-parameter Rayleigh-geometric distribution with increasing-decreasing-increasing and strictly increasing hazard rate characteristics is reviewed. Various properties are discussed and expressed analytically. The estimation of the distribution parameters is studied by the method of maximum likelihood and validated by a simulation study.