Publications by authors named "Ian Shrier"

Immortal time may arise in survival analyses when individuals are assigned to treatment strategies based on post-eligibility information or selected based on post-assignment eligibility criteria. Selection based on eligibility criteria applied after treatment assignment results in immortal time when the analysis starts the follow-up at assignment. Misclassification of assignment to treatment strategies based on treatment received after eligibility results in immortal time when the treatment strategies are not distinguishable at the start of follow-up.

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Article Synopsis
  • The study aims to evaluate how changing the duration of participation in ice hockey, using the acute:chronic workload ratio (ACWR), affects injury risk in adolescent players without recent injuries.
  • Conducted as a prospective cohort study over five years, data were collected from ice hockey players aged 13-17 in Canada, with various participation levels analyzed for injury risk.
  • Results showed that increasing participation duration consistently raises injury risk, with no optimal level identified; specifically, injury risk increased notably for ACWR values higher than 2, suggesting higher exposure leads to greater injury likelihood.
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Background: Several observational studies of the relationship between training load and injury have found increased risks of injury at low loads. These associations are expected because load is often assessed at the end of the injury follow-up period. As such, athletes who get injured earlier in the follow-up period will have systematically lower loads than athletes who get injured later in the follow-up period.

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Objective: To determine the effect of bye weeks (no practices or games) on the injury event rate in the Canadian Football League (CFL).

Design: Historical (retrospective) cohort study.

Setting: CFL.

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Background: The optimization of athlete training load is not a new concept; however in recent years, the concept of "load management" is one of the most widely studied and divisive topics in sports science and medicine.

Purpose: Discuss the challenges faced by sports when utilizing training load monitoring and management, with a specific focus on the use of data to inform load management guidelines and policies/mandates, their consequences, and how we move this field forward.

Challenges: While guidelines can theoretically help protect athletes, overzealous and overcautious guidelines may restrict an athlete's preparedness, negatively influence performance, and increase injury risk.

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Background And Objectives: Despite the importance of the Objective Structured Clinical Examination (OSCE) in Sport and Exercise Medicine, the literature on the topic is fragmented and has been poorly developed. The goal of this review was to map current knowledge about how the OSCE is used in Sport and Exercise Medicine, and to identify knowledge gaps for future research.

Method: The authors conducted a scoping review.

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In recent years, a large focus has been placed on managing training load for injury prevention. To minimise injuries, training recommendations should be based on research that examines causal relationships between load and injury risk. While observational studies can be used to estimate causal effects, conventional methods to study the relationship between load and injury are prone to bias.

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Background: Musculoskeletal injuries are a common occurrence in sport. The goal of sport injury epidemiology is to study these injuries at a population level to inform their prevention and treatment.

Main Body: This review provides an overview of musculoskeletal sport injuries and the musculoskeletal system from a biological and epidemiologic perspective, including injury mechanism, categorizations and types of sport injuries, healing, and subsequent injuries.

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Academics in sports medicine as well as other medical fields are generally expected to publish research and opinions in peer-reviewed journals. The peer-review process is intended to protect against the publication of flawed research and unsubstantiated claims. However, both financial and non-financial competing interests may result in sub-optimal results by affecting investigators, editors, peer reviewers, academic institutions, and publishers.

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Causal directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are often used to select variables in a regression model to identify causal effects. Outcome-based sampling studies, such as the 'test-negative design' used to assess vaccine effectiveness, present unique challenges that are not addressed by the common back-door criterion. Here we discuss intuitive, graphical approaches to explain why the common back-door criterion cannot be used for identification of population average causal effects with outcome-based sampling studies.

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Various terms used in sport and exercise science, and medicine, are derived from other fields such as epidemiology, pharmacology and causal inference. Conceptual and nomological frameworks have described training load as a multidimensional construct manifested by two causally related subdimensions: external and internal training load. In this article, we explain how the concepts of training load and its subdimensions can be aligned to classifications used in occupational medicine and epidemiology, where exposure can also be differentiated into external and internal dose.

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Purpose: Researchers often use model-based multiple imputation to handle missing at random data to minimize bias. However, constraints within the data may sometimes result in implausible values, making model-based imputation infeasible. In these contexts, we illustrate how random hot deck imputation can allow for plausible multiple imputation in longitudinal studies.

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Preliminary evidence points to a link between C-reactive protein (CRP) and spinal pain in adults. However, there is a paucity of research in younger populations. Therefore, we aimed to determine associations between CRP and spinal pain in childhood and adolescence.

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Return-to-play decision making should be based on all the advantages and disadvantages of return to play for athletes, not just the risk of injury. For competitive athletes, this includes the effect of early versus delayed return to sport on performance. In this paper, we address the questions "How can I estimate the effect of injury on the individual's performance at return to play?" and "What is the effect of delaying return to sport on the individual's performance?".

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Objective: Identifying which types of athletes have increased injury risk (ie, predictive risk factors) should help develop cost-effective selective injury prevention strategies. Our objective was to compare a theoretical injury risk classification system developed by coaches and rehabilitation therapists, with observed injury rates in human circus acts across dimensions of physical stressors, acrobatic complexity, qualifications, and residual risks.

Design: Descriptive epidemiological study.

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Objectives: To illustrate why the research question determines whether and how sport medicine investigators should adjust for workload when interested in interventions or causal risk factors for injury.

Design: Theoretical conceptualization.

Methods: We use current concepts of causal inference to demonstrate the advantages and disadvantages of adjusting for workload through different analytic approaches when evaluating causal effects on injury risk.

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Article Synopsis
  • - The study tracked 1,556 children from ages 6 to 17 over 5.5 years to understand how spinal pain frequency changes during this time, using weekly text message reports and physical evaluations based on disease classification standards.
  • - Out of the children, 63% reported spinal pain at least once, with identified trajectories including "no pain," "rare," "rare increasing," "moderate increasing," and "early-onset decreasing," highlighting diverse experiences with spinal pain.
  • - The findings suggest that most children's spinal pain is not linked to serious conditions, reinforcing the idea that they can be assured and encouraged to maintain an active lifestyle during painful episodes, in line with existing adult back pain guidelines.
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Limited research exists on the relationship between changes in physical activity levels and injury in children. In this study, we investigated the prognostic relationship between changes in activity, measured by the acute:chronic workload ratio (ACWR), and injury in children. We used data from the Childhood Health, Activity, and Motor Performance School Study Denmark (2008-2014), a prospective cohort study of 1,660 children aged 6-17 years.

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Recent theoretical work in causal inference has explored an important class of variables which, when conditioned on, may further amplify existing unmeasured confounding bias (bias amplification). Despite this theoretical work, existing simulations of bias amplification in clinical settings have suggested bias amplification may not be as important in many practical cases as suggested in the theoretical literature. We resolve this tension by using tools from the semi-parametric regression literature leading to a general characterization in terms of the geometry of OLS estimators which allows us to extend current results to a larger class of DAGs, functional forms, and distributional assumptions.

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Objective: To conduct a scoping review that identifies different nominal group technique (NGT) methods used to elicit items for health surveys, and their advantages and disadvantages.

Study Design And Setting: We conducted a comprehensive search process from database inception to July 22, 2019 in Medline, EMBASE, PsychInfo, CINAHL, Cochrane Central and Scopus without language restriction. We screened titles and abstracts.

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