Publications by authors named "Hazel E Thornton"
Harnessing island-ocean connections to maximize marine benefits of island conservation.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
December 2022
Article Synopsis
- Islands have unique ecosystems that are threatened by invasive species and other stressors, impacting both land and marine environments.
- Recent research shows that eradicating invasive mammals and restoring native species can benefit both island and surrounding ocean ecosystems, but the effectiveness of these efforts varies globally.
- To improve conservation strategies, it’s important to evaluate key environmental factors like precipitation and ocean productivity, which can inform land-sea management plans and maximize conservation results.
We demonstrate levels of skill for forecasts of seasonal-mean wind speed and solar irradiance in Europe, using seasonal forecast systems available from the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). While skill is patchy, there is potential for the development of climate services for the energy sector. Following previous studies, we show that, where there is skill, a simple linear regression-based method using the hindcast and forecast ensemble means provides a straightforward approach for producing calibrated probabilistic seasonal forecasts.
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