A model estimating the level of floral transition in olive trees exposed to warm periods during winter.

Rising winter temperatures jeopardize the fruit yield of trees that require a prolonged and sufficiently cold winter to flower. Predicting the exact risk to different crop varieties is the first step in mitigating the harmful effects of climate change. This work focused on olive (Olea europaea) - a traditional crop in the Mediterranean basin whose flowering depends on the sufficiency of cold periods and the lack of warm ones during the preceding winter.