Background: Interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IF/TA) in renal transplants are the major morphological correlates of progressive graft deterioration. Early diagnosis of IF/TA is a pre-requisite for a timely therapeutic intervention in patients at risk. To evaluate events occurring before the overt onset of IF/TA, gene expression profiling of 3-month protocol biopsies from patients with IF/TA was performed in a patient group (n = 8) who developed mild IF/TA [chronic allograft nephropathy (CAN) grade I, by the Banff scoring system] in the subsequent 6-month protocol biopsy ('progressors'), and in 12 patients without IF/TA at 6 months ('non-progressors').
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