The macroeconomic effects of COVID-19 in Montenegro: a Bayesian VARX approach.

This study examines, diagnoses, and assesses appropriate macroeconomic policy responses of the Montenegrin Government to the outbreak of COVID-19. The model econometrically measures the macroeconomic costs using a Bayesian VARX Litterman/Minessota prior to the pandemic disease in terms of demand and supply loss due to illness and closed activities and their effects on GDP growth in various pandemic scenarios. We explore five economic scenarios-shocks-using the available data from January 2006 to December 2019, following real out-of-sample forecasts generated from January 2020 to December 2020.

[Drunken state in fatally injured drivers of motor vehicles].

Introduction: Consumption of alcohol may be an important causative factor in traffic accidents, particularly in categories of drivers and pedestrians.

Objective: Analysis of frequency and other important medicolegal characteristics of drunken state of motor vehicles drivers.

Methods: We analyzed autopsibs performed at the Institute of Forensic Medicine Belgrade during 2008 and 2009.